Current Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate London will see sunny intervals and a maximum near 28°C on August 15 under continued high pressure, yet market-implied odds favor 26–27°C because traders weigh small forecast spreads in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal influence that could shave 1–2°C from the peak. Persistent warm advection from the south has already produced several days above 30°C across southern England, but the precise daily maximum depends on the timing of diurnal heating and localized urban effects at official stations. With resolution two days away, fresh model runs and Met Office briefings remain the key variables that could shift consensus around the 26–28°C band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日伦敦气温最高？
8月15日伦敦气温最高？
26°C 35%
27°C 28%
25°C 19%
28°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
19%
26°C
35%
27°C
28%
28°C
12%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 35%
27°C 28%
25°C 19%
28°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
20°C or below
$710 交易量
<1%
21°C
$489 交易量
<1%
22°C
$258 交易量
<1%
23°C
$90 交易量
1%
24°C
$370 交易量
6%
25°C
$165 交易量
19%
26°C
$479 交易量
35%
27°C
$587 交易量
28%
28°C
$263 交易量
12%
29°C
$241 交易量
2%
30°C or higher
$353 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate London will see sunny intervals and a maximum near 28°C on August 15 under continued high pressure, yet market-implied odds favor 26–27°C because traders weigh small forecast spreads in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal influence that could shave 1–2°C from the peak. Persistent warm advection from the south has already produced several days above 30°C across southern England, but the precise daily maximum depends on the timing of diurnal heating and localized urban effects at official stations. With resolution two days away, fresh model runs and Met Office briefings remain the key variables that could shift consensus around the 26–28°C band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$3,967结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate London will see sunny intervals and a maximum near 28°C on August 15 under continued high pressure, yet market-implied odds favor 26–27°C because traders weigh small forecast spreads in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal influence that could shave 1–2°C from the peak. Persistent warm advection from the south has already produced several days above 30°C across southern England, but the precise daily maximum depends on the timing of diurnal heating and localized urban effects at official stations. With resolution two days away, fresh model runs and Met Office briefings remain the key variables that could shift consensus around the 26–28°C band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,967结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETCurrent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate London will see sunny intervals and a maximum near 28°C on August 15 under continued high pressure, yet market-implied odds favor 26–27°C because traders weigh small forecast spreads in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal influence that could shave 1–2°C from the peak. Persistent warm advection from the south has already produced several days above 30°C across southern England, but the precise daily maximum depends on the timing of diurnal heating and localized urban effects at official stations. With resolution two days away, fresh model runs and Met Office briefings remain the key variables that could shift consensus around the 26–28°C band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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