Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project daytime highs of 34–35°C in Taipei on August 15, with afternoon thundershowers possible under subtropical high pressure and ample solar insolation. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 34–36°C because ensemble models show modest spread driven by variable convective cloud cover, urban heat island effects, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling while capping extreme peaks. Historical August climatology supports baseline highs near 32–34°C, yet recent model runs highlight sensitivity to steering winds and moisture influx that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders monitor updated CWA guidance and global ensemble outputs through the weekend for refined resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日台北气温最高？
8月15日台北气温最高？
35°C 32%
36°C 25%
34°C 25%
33°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
11%
34°C
25%
35°C
32%
36°C
25%
37°C
5%
38°C or higher
2%
35°C 32%
36°C 25%
34°C 25%
33°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
28°C or below
$479 交易量
<1%
29°C
$168 交易量
<1%
30°C
$124 交易量
1%
31°C
$92 交易量
1%
32°C
$130 交易量
2%
33°C
$60 交易量
11%
34°C
$23 交易量
25%
35°C
$24 交易量
32%
36°C
$50 交易量
25%
37°C
$20 交易量
5%
38°C or higher
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project daytime highs of 34–35°C in Taipei on August 15, with afternoon thundershowers possible under subtropical high pressure and ample solar insolation. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 34–36°C because ensemble models show modest spread driven by variable convective cloud cover, urban heat island effects, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling while capping extreme peaks. Historical August climatology supports baseline highs near 32–34°C, yet recent model runs highlight sensitivity to steering winds and moisture influx that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders monitor updated CWA guidance and global ensemble outputs through the weekend for refined resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,169结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project daytime highs of 34–35°C in Taipei on August 15, with afternoon thundershowers possible under subtropical high pressure and ample solar insolation. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 34–36°C because ensemble models show modest spread driven by variable convective cloud cover, urban heat island effects, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling while capping extreme peaks. Historical August climatology supports baseline highs near 32–34°C, yet recent model runs highlight sensitivity to steering winds and moisture influx that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders monitor updated CWA guidance and global ensemble outputs through the weekend for refined resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,169结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project daytime highs of 34–35°C in Taipei on August 15, with afternoon thundershowers possible under subtropical high pressure and ample solar insolation. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 34–36°C because ensemble models show modest spread driven by variable convective cloud cover, urban heat island effects, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling while capping extreme peaks. Historical August climatology supports baseline highs near 32–34°C, yet recent model runs highlight sensitivity to steering winds and moisture influx that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders monitor updated CWA guidance and global ensemble outputs through the weekend for refined resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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