Traders see a near-even split between 30°C and 31°C highs for Manila on August 13 because official PAGASA forecasts and numerical models show values clustered in that narrow range amid active Southwest monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover, scattered to widespread showers, and elevated humidity limit daytime heating despite typical August insolation levels, while steering patterns and any localized breaks in rainfall could allow brief warming toward the upper end of the range. Recent heavy-rainfall outlooks through August 13 reinforce expectations of suppressed maxima relative to drier climatology, yet model spread on exact rainfall timing and intensity keeps both outcomes competitive in the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日马尼拉的最高温度？
8月13日马尼拉的最高温度？
31°C 44%
30°C 39%
29°C 10%
32°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
39%
31°C
44%
32°C
7%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C或更高
<1%
31°C 44%
30°C 39%
29°C 10%
32°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
25°C或以下
$267 交易量
<1%
26°C
$386 交易量
<1%
27°C
$258 交易量
1%
28°C
$380 交易量
3%
29°C
$1,179 交易量
10%
30°C
$837 交易量
39%
31°C
$1,139 交易量
44%
32°C
$958 交易量
7%
33°C
$1,203 交易量
2%
34°C
$323 交易量
1%
35°C或更高
$341 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see a near-even split between 30°C and 31°C highs for Manila on August 13 because official PAGASA forecasts and numerical models show values clustered in that narrow range amid active Southwest monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover, scattered to widespread showers, and elevated humidity limit daytime heating despite typical August insolation levels, while steering patterns and any localized breaks in rainfall could allow brief warming toward the upper end of the range. Recent heavy-rainfall outlooks through August 13 reinforce expectations of suppressed maxima relative to drier climatology, yet model spread on exact rainfall timing and intensity keeps both outcomes competitive in the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$7,271结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see a near-even split between 30°C and 31°C highs for Manila on August 13 because official PAGASA forecasts and numerical models show values clustered in that narrow range amid active Southwest monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover, scattered to widespread showers, and elevated humidity limit daytime heating despite typical August insolation levels, while steering patterns and any localized breaks in rainfall could allow brief warming toward the upper end of the range. Recent heavy-rainfall outlooks through August 13 reinforce expectations of suppressed maxima relative to drier climatology, yet model spread on exact rainfall timing and intensity keeps both outcomes competitive in the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,271结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETTraders see a near-even split between 30°C and 31°C highs for Manila on August 13 because official PAGASA forecasts and numerical models show values clustered in that narrow range amid active Southwest monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover, scattered to widespread showers, and elevated humidity limit daytime heating despite typical August insolation levels, while steering patterns and any localized breaks in rainfall could allow brief warming toward the upper end of the range. Recent heavy-rainfall outlooks through August 13 reinforce expectations of suppressed maxima relative to drier climatology, yet model spread on exact rainfall timing and intensity keeps both outcomes competitive in the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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