Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and supporting global model consensus indicate a maximum temperature of 30–32°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 15, 2026, under mostly cloudy conditions with 20–30% precipitation probability and light northerly winds. This positions 29–31°C as the leading market outcomes, reflecting typical late-summer patterns after an early-August heatwave that saw peaks near 39°C. Current steering patterns and humidity levels support modest moderation from recent highs, while model spread and potential for localized intensification keep probabilities distributed across the 29–31°C band. Updated KMA briefings and next model runs in the coming 24–48 hours will further refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
8月15日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
30°C 38%
29°C 28%
31°C 21%
28°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
28%
30°C
38%
31°C
21%
32°C
7%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 38%
29°C 28%
31°C 21%
28°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
24°C or below
$379 交易量
<1%
25°C
$141 交易量
<1%
26°C
$22 交易量
2%
27°C
$30 交易量
4%
28°C
$89 交易量
10%
29°C
$167 交易量
28%
30°C
$321 交易量
38%
31°C
$82 交易量
21%
32°C
$68 交易量
7%
33°C
$45 交易量
2%
34°C or higher
$34 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and supporting global model consensus indicate a maximum temperature of 30–32°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 15, 2026, under mostly cloudy conditions with 20–30% precipitation probability and light northerly winds. This positions 29–31°C as the leading market outcomes, reflecting typical late-summer patterns after an early-August heatwave that saw peaks near 39°C. Current steering patterns and humidity levels support modest moderation from recent highs, while model spread and potential for localized intensification keep probabilities distributed across the 29–31°C band. Updated KMA briefings and next model runs in the coming 24–48 hours will further refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,377结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and supporting global model consensus indicate a maximum temperature of 30–32°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 15, 2026, under mostly cloudy conditions with 20–30% precipitation probability and light northerly winds. This positions 29–31°C as the leading market outcomes, reflecting typical late-summer patterns after an early-August heatwave that saw peaks near 39°C. Current steering patterns and humidity levels support modest moderation from recent highs, while model spread and potential for localized intensification keep probabilities distributed across the 29–31°C band. Updated KMA briefings and next model runs in the coming 24–48 hours will further refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,377结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and supporting global model consensus indicate a maximum temperature of 30–32°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 15, 2026, under mostly cloudy conditions with 20–30% precipitation probability and light northerly winds. This positions 29–31°C as the leading market outcomes, reflecting typical late-summer patterns after an early-August heatwave that saw peaks near 39°C. Current steering patterns and humidity levels support modest moderation from recent highs, while model spread and potential for localized intensification keep probabilities distributed across the 29–31°C band. Updated KMA briefings and next model runs in the coming 24–48 hours will further refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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