Persistent heatwave conditions across South Korea, with elevated humidity and overnight cloud cover, are limiting radiative cooling and sustaining high minimum temperatures. Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts point to a 26°C low for Seoul/Incheon on August 15 under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with recent tropical-night patterns where minima have held at or above 25°C. Trader sentiment favoring 24–25°C outcomes reflects model spreads and Incheon’s coastal moderating influence, while probabilities below 23°C remain minimal given the established warm air mass and lack of frontal passages. Updated short-range guidance from monitoring agencies will be the key near-term catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
8月15日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
25°C 44%
24°C 34%
26°C 20%
23°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
34%
25°C
44%
26°C
20%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或更高
<1%
25°C 44%
24°C 34%
26°C 20%
23°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
20°C或以下
$335 交易量
<1%
21°C
$331 交易量
<1%
22°C
$409 交易量
<1%
23°C
$591 交易量
3%
24°C
$2,244 交易量
34%
25°C
$1,956 交易量
44%
26°C
$1,076 交易量
20%
27°C
$509 交易量
2%
28°C
$321 交易量
<1%
29°C
$296 交易量
<1%
30°C或更高
$342 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions across South Korea, with elevated humidity and overnight cloud cover, are limiting radiative cooling and sustaining high minimum temperatures. Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts point to a 26°C low for Seoul/Incheon on August 15 under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with recent tropical-night patterns where minima have held at or above 25°C. Trader sentiment favoring 24–25°C outcomes reflects model spreads and Incheon’s coastal moderating influence, while probabilities below 23°C remain minimal given the established warm air mass and lack of frontal passages. Updated short-range guidance from monitoring agencies will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$8,410结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions across South Korea, with elevated humidity and overnight cloud cover, are limiting radiative cooling and sustaining high minimum temperatures. Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts point to a 26°C low for Seoul/Incheon on August 15 under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with recent tropical-night patterns where minima have held at or above 25°C. Trader sentiment favoring 24–25°C outcomes reflects model spreads and Incheon’s coastal moderating influence, while probabilities below 23°C remain minimal given the established warm air mass and lack of frontal passages. Updated short-range guidance from monitoring agencies will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,410结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETPersistent heatwave conditions across South Korea, with elevated humidity and overnight cloud cover, are limiting radiative cooling and sustaining high minimum temperatures. Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts point to a 26°C low for Seoul/Incheon on August 15 under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with recent tropical-night patterns where minima have held at or above 25°C. Trader sentiment favoring 24–25°C outcomes reflects model spreads and Incheon’s coastal moderating influence, while probabilities below 23°C remain minimal given the established warm air mass and lack of frontal passages. Updated short-range guidance from monitoring agencies will be the key near-term catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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