Current Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a 24°C minimum temperature for Seoul and Incheon on August 16 amid continued rain and 60-70% precipitation probability, establishing the leading market-implied outcome. Persistent cloud cover and moisture from the East Asian summer monsoon limit overnight radiative cooling, consistent with seasonal averages of 23-24°C lows and high humidity levels that sustain elevated nighttime temperatures. Recent short-range model consensus shows stable southerly flow without significant clearing or cold-air advection, though updated runs or unexpected breaks in the rain could allow slightly lower readings near 23°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日首尔(仁川)气温最低?
24°C 45%
23°C 34%
25°C 13%
22°C 8%
19°C或以下
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
34%
24°C
45%
25°C
13%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28℃
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
24°C 45%
23°C 34%
25°C 13%
22°C 8%
19°C或以下
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
34%
24°C
45%
25°C
13%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28℃
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a 24°C minimum temperature for Seoul and Incheon on August 16 amid continued rain and 60-70% precipitation probability, establishing the leading market-implied outcome. Persistent cloud cover and moisture from the East Asian summer monsoon limit overnight radiative cooling, consistent with seasonal averages of 23-24°C lows and high humidity levels that sustain elevated nighttime temperatures. Recent short-range model consensus shows stable southerly flow without significant clearing or cold-air advection, though updated runs or unexpected breaks in the rain could allow slightly lower readings near 23°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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