Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport point to a high near 73°F on August 14 amid persistent marine layer clouds and moderate onshore flow from the southwest, keeping coastal areas cooler than interior valleys. This aligns with the market's strong consensus on 76-77°F and 74-75°F outcomes, reflecting traders' incorporation of typical August climatology where sea breezes and stratus limit daytime heating to the mid-70s range near the coast. Recent model runs show limited warming potential without a significant offshore wind shift, while historical data indicate rare exceedances above 80°F under similar late-summer patterns. Updated NWS briefings and any overnight model revisions through the morning of the 14th remain key variables that could refine these implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日洛杉矶气温最高?
76-77°F 56%
74-75°F 33%
78-79°F 7%
72-73°F 5%
65°F或以下
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69华氏度
<1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
33%
76-77°F
56%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F或更高
<1%
76-77°F 56%
74-75°F 33%
78-79°F 7%
72-73°F 5%
65°F或以下
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69华氏度
<1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
33%
76-77°F
56%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport point to a high near 73°F on August 14 amid persistent marine layer clouds and moderate onshore flow from the southwest, keeping coastal areas cooler than interior valleys. This aligns with the market's strong consensus on 76-77°F and 74-75°F outcomes, reflecting traders' incorporation of typical August climatology where sea breezes and stratus limit daytime heating to the mid-70s range near the coast. Recent model runs show limited warming potential without a significant offshore wind shift, while historical data indicate rare exceedances above 80°F under similar late-summer patterns. Updated NWS briefings and any overnight model revisions through the morning of the 14th remain key variables that could refine these implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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