Recent short-term forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com and local updates show Shanghai overnight lows near 25.6–26°C on August 15 amid typical subtropical summer humidity above 75% and scattered thunderstorms. These conditions, driven by regional moisture and cloud cover that reduce radiative cooling, align with climatological baselines for August minima around 25–26°C and position 26°C as the market leader at 72.5% implied probability. Minor variations in precipitation timing or wind patterns could shift the minimum toward 25°C, which holds 27% odds, while stronger clearing would be needed for lower outcomes. Updated regional model runs and observational data over the next 24 hours will refine these trader-assessed probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日上海最低气温？
8月15日上海最低气温？
26°C 72%
25°C 27%
24°C 4%
23°C <1%
最新
$26,769 交易量
最新
$26,769 交易量
2026-08-15
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
27%
26°C
72%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
26°C 72%
25°C 27%
24°C 4%
23°C <1%
最新
$26,769 交易量
最新
$26,769 交易量
2026-08-15
20°C或以下
$301 交易量
<1%
21°C
$301 交易量
<1%
22°C
$535 交易量
<1%
23°C
$976 交易量
<1%
24°C
$593 交易量
4%
25°C
$1,759 交易量
27%
26°C
$1,989 交易量
72%
27°C
$17,918 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,682 交易量
<1%
29°C
$508 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$206 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com and local updates show Shanghai overnight lows near 25.6–26°C on August 15 amid typical subtropical summer humidity above 75% and scattered thunderstorms. These conditions, driven by regional moisture and cloud cover that reduce radiative cooling, align with climatological baselines for August minima around 25–26°C and position 26°C as the market leader at 72.5% implied probability. Minor variations in precipitation timing or wind patterns could shift the minimum toward 25°C, which holds 27% odds, while stronger clearing would be needed for lower outcomes. Updated regional model runs and observational data over the next 24 hours will refine these trader-assessed probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$26,769结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com and local updates show Shanghai overnight lows near 25.6–26°C on August 15 amid typical subtropical summer humidity above 75% and scattered thunderstorms. These conditions, driven by regional moisture and cloud cover that reduce radiative cooling, align with climatological baselines for August minima around 25–26°C and position 26°C as the market leader at 72.5% implied probability. Minor variations in precipitation timing or wind patterns could shift the minimum toward 25°C, which holds 27% odds, while stronger clearing would be needed for lower outcomes. Updated regional model runs and observational data over the next 24 hours will refine these trader-assessed probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$26,769结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETRecent short-term forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com and local updates show Shanghai overnight lows near 25.6–26°C on August 15 amid typical subtropical summer humidity above 75% and scattered thunderstorms. These conditions, driven by regional moisture and cloud cover that reduce radiative cooling, align with climatological baselines for August minima around 25–26°C and position 26°C as the market leader at 72.5% implied probability. Minor variations in precipitation timing or wind patterns could shift the minimum toward 25°C, which holds 27% odds, while stronger clearing would be needed for lower outcomes. Updated regional model runs and observational data over the next 24 hours will refine these trader-assessed probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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