National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 12 point to a high near 74–77°F as an upper-level trough brings slightly cooler marine air and partial cloud cover after several days of above-average warmth. This setup, combined with typical Puget Sound moderation and seasonal cooling from the mid-August peak, underpins trader emphasis on the 76–77°F and 74–75°F bins. Model consensus remains tight on modest daytime mixing and limited solar heating, with any deviation hinging on exact cloud timing or wind shifts. Historical analogs from similar trough passages show highs rarely exceeding 78°F under these conditions, keeping longer-tail outcomes at low implied probabilities. Updated NWS discussions and model runs expected through the evening will provide the next resolution-relevant data points.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日西雅图气温最高？
8月12日西雅图气温最高？
76-77°F 39%
74-75°F 30%
78-79°F 16%
72-73°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 39%
74-75°F 30%
78-79°F 16%
72-73°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
67°F or below
$171 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$369 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$624 交易量
3%
72-73°F
$305 交易量
8%
74-75°F
$315 交易量
30%
76-77°F
$244 交易量
39%
78-79°F
$166 交易量
16%
80-81°F
$40 交易量
4%
82-83°F
$307 交易量
1%
84-85°F
$154 交易量
<1%
86°F or higher
$542 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 12 point to a high near 74–77°F as an upper-level trough brings slightly cooler marine air and partial cloud cover after several days of above-average warmth. This setup, combined with typical Puget Sound moderation and seasonal cooling from the mid-August peak, underpins trader emphasis on the 76–77°F and 74–75°F bins. Model consensus remains tight on modest daytime mixing and limited solar heating, with any deviation hinging on exact cloud timing or wind shifts. Historical analogs from similar trough passages show highs rarely exceeding 78°F under these conditions, keeping longer-tail outcomes at low implied probabilities. Updated NWS discussions and model runs expected through the evening will provide the next resolution-relevant data points.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$3,237结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 12 point to a high near 74–77°F as an upper-level trough brings slightly cooler marine air and partial cloud cover after several days of above-average warmth. This setup, combined with typical Puget Sound moderation and seasonal cooling from the mid-August peak, underpins trader emphasis on the 76–77°F and 74–75°F bins. Model consensus remains tight on modest daytime mixing and limited solar heating, with any deviation hinging on exact cloud timing or wind shifts. Historical analogs from similar trough passages show highs rarely exceeding 78°F under these conditions, keeping longer-tail outcomes at low implied probabilities. Updated NWS discussions and model runs expected through the evening will provide the next resolution-relevant data points.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,237结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNational Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 12 point to a high near 74–77°F as an upper-level trough brings slightly cooler marine air and partial cloud cover after several days of above-average warmth. This setup, combined with typical Puget Sound moderation and seasonal cooling from the mid-August peak, underpins trader emphasis on the 76–77°F and 74–75°F bins. Model consensus remains tight on modest daytime mixing and limited solar heating, with any deviation hinging on exact cloud timing or wind shifts. Historical analogs from similar trough passages show highs rarely exceeding 78°F under these conditions, keeping longer-tail outcomes at low implied probabilities. Updated NWS discussions and model runs expected through the evening will provide the next resolution-relevant data points.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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