Recent forecast models from sources like Ventusky and timeanddate indicate a daily maximum near 25–27°C for Mexico City on August 15, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 26°C (44.5% implied) and 27°C (39.5%). In this subtropical highland setting at roughly 2,240 meters elevation, peak temperatures hinge on afternoon solar heating before seasonal rains and convective cloud build-up limit further warming. Historical August averages hover near 24°C, so the current slight elevation reflects clearer morning conditions and modest model consensus on reduced cloud cover. Small differences between 26°C and 27°C outcomes stem from timing of showers, wind patterns, and precise insolation amounts, with traders weighting the latest observational updates and ensemble guidance that favor the upper end of the narrow range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日墨西哥城气温最高？
8月15日墨西哥城气温最高？
26°C 45%
27°C 40%
25°C 11%
28°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
11%
26°C
45%
27°C
40%
28°C
7%
29°C
<1%
30°C或更高
<1%
26°C 45%
27°C 40%
25°C 11%
28°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
20°C或以下
$508 交易量
<1%
21°C
$220 交易量
<1%
22°C
$205 交易量
1%
23°C
$407 交易量
1%
24°C
$794 交易量
1%
25°C
$377 交易量
11%
26°C
$555 交易量
45%
27°C
$989 交易量
40%
28°C
$303 交易量
7%
29°C
$240 交易量
<1%
30°C或更高
$438 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like Ventusky and timeanddate indicate a daily maximum near 25–27°C for Mexico City on August 15, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 26°C (44.5% implied) and 27°C (39.5%). In this subtropical highland setting at roughly 2,240 meters elevation, peak temperatures hinge on afternoon solar heating before seasonal rains and convective cloud build-up limit further warming. Historical August averages hover near 24°C, so the current slight elevation reflects clearer morning conditions and modest model consensus on reduced cloud cover. Small differences between 26°C and 27°C outcomes stem from timing of showers, wind patterns, and precise insolation amounts, with traders weighting the latest observational updates and ensemble guidance that favor the upper end of the narrow range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
交易量
$5,037结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like Ventusky and timeanddate indicate a daily maximum near 25–27°C for Mexico City on August 15, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 26°C (44.5% implied) and 27°C (39.5%). In this subtropical highland setting at roughly 2,240 meters elevation, peak temperatures hinge on afternoon solar heating before seasonal rains and convective cloud build-up limit further warming. Historical August averages hover near 24°C, so the current slight elevation reflects clearer morning conditions and modest model consensus on reduced cloud cover. Small differences between 26°C and 27°C outcomes stem from timing of showers, wind patterns, and precise insolation amounts, with traders weighting the latest observational updates and ensemble guidance that favor the upper end of the narrow range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,037结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETRecent forecast models from sources like Ventusky and timeanddate indicate a daily maximum near 25–27°C for Mexico City on August 15, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 26°C (44.5% implied) and 27°C (39.5%). In this subtropical highland setting at roughly 2,240 meters elevation, peak temperatures hinge on afternoon solar heating before seasonal rains and convective cloud build-up limit further warming. Historical August averages hover near 24°C, so the current slight elevation reflects clearer morning conditions and modest model consensus on reduced cloud cover. Small differences between 26°C and 27°C outcomes stem from timing of showers, wind patterns, and precise insolation amounts, with traders weighting the latest observational updates and ensemble guidance that favor the upper end of the narrow range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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