National Weather Service forecasts for August 15, 2026, indicate mostly clear skies and light northeast flow over New York City, supporting an overnight low near 70°F as the primary driver of market-implied odds. This aligns with NOAA model consensus and typical August radiative cooling patterns under calm conditions, moderated by the urban heat island effect that often prevents deeper drops below 68°F. Recent observations from Central Park show similar mild minimums in the upper 60s to low 70s amid warmer-than-average monthly guidance, while minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds explain the tight clustering between the 68–73°F bins. Traders appear to weigh these official projections heavily ahead of the daily minimum observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市8月15日的最低温度？
纽约市8月15日的最低温度？
70-71°F 43%
72-73°F 31%
68-69°F 26%
74-75°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
57°F或更低
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
43%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
5%
76°F或更高
1%
70-71°F 43%
72-73°F 31%
68-69°F 26%
74-75°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
57°F或更低
$300 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$281 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$573 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$420 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$419 交易量
4%
66-67°F
$201 交易量
4%
68-69°F
$199 交易量
26%
70-71°F
$432 交易量
43%
72-73°F
$359 交易量
31%
74-75°F
$297 交易量
5%
76°F或更高
$433 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for August 15, 2026, indicate mostly clear skies and light northeast flow over New York City, supporting an overnight low near 70°F as the primary driver of market-implied odds. This aligns with NOAA model consensus and typical August radiative cooling patterns under calm conditions, moderated by the urban heat island effect that often prevents deeper drops below 68°F. Recent observations from Central Park show similar mild minimums in the upper 60s to low 70s amid warmer-than-average monthly guidance, while minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds explain the tight clustering between the 68–73°F bins. Traders appear to weigh these official projections heavily ahead of the daily minimum observation.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
交易量
$3,914结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for August 15, 2026, indicate mostly clear skies and light northeast flow over New York City, supporting an overnight low near 70°F as the primary driver of market-implied odds. This aligns with NOAA model consensus and typical August radiative cooling patterns under calm conditions, moderated by the urban heat island effect that often prevents deeper drops below 68°F. Recent observations from Central Park show similar mild minimums in the upper 60s to low 70s amid warmer-than-average monthly guidance, while minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds explain the tight clustering between the 68–73°F bins. Traders appear to weigh these official projections heavily ahead of the daily minimum observation.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,914结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETNational Weather Service forecasts for August 15, 2026, indicate mostly clear skies and light northeast flow over New York City, supporting an overnight low near 70°F as the primary driver of market-implied odds. This aligns with NOAA model consensus and typical August radiative cooling patterns under calm conditions, moderated by the urban heat island effect that often prevents deeper drops below 68°F. Recent observations from Central Park show similar mild minimums in the upper 60s to low 70s amid warmer-than-average monthly guidance, while minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds explain the tight clustering between the 68–73°F bins. Traders appear to weigh these official projections heavily ahead of the daily minimum observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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