Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate moderating temperatures for New York City on August 16, 2026, with a projected high near 81–83°F amid a post-heat wave cooldown and onshore flow limiting afternoon peaks. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes of 80–81°F (47.5%) and 82–83°F (27%), as traders weigh ensemble guidance showing reduced humidity and cloud cover compared to earlier August peaks near 90°F. Historical Central Park data place the long-term average high around 84°F, but current steering patterns and sea-surface influences favor slightly below-normal readings for the date, with low odds for extremes above 85°F or below 78°F reflecting tight forecast confidence. Updated model runs and observations will refine these implied probabilities through the afternoon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市8月16日的最高温度？
纽约市8月16日的最高温度？
80-81°F 50%
82-83°F 27%
78-79°F 17%
76-77°F 5%
最新
$33,059 交易量
最新
$33,059 交易量
2026-08-16
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
50%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 50%
82-83°F 27%
78-79°F 17%
76-77°F 5%
最新
$33,059 交易量
最新
$33,059 交易量
2026-08-16
71°F or below
$211 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$214 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$20,369 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$2,000 交易量
5%
78-79°F
$1,470 交易量
17%
80-81°F
$736 交易量
50%
82-83°F
$3,790 交易量
27%
84-85°F
$1,514 交易量
4%
86-87°F
$1,228 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$1,050 交易量
<1%
90°F or higher
$582 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate moderating temperatures for New York City on August 16, 2026, with a projected high near 81–83°F amid a post-heat wave cooldown and onshore flow limiting afternoon peaks. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes of 80–81°F (47.5%) and 82–83°F (27%), as traders weigh ensemble guidance showing reduced humidity and cloud cover compared to earlier August peaks near 90°F. Historical Central Park data place the long-term average high around 84°F, but current steering patterns and sea-surface influences favor slightly below-normal readings for the date, with low odds for extremes above 85°F or below 78°F reflecting tight forecast confidence. Updated model runs and observations will refine these implied probabilities through the afternoon.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
交易量
$33,059结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate moderating temperatures for New York City on August 16, 2026, with a projected high near 81–83°F amid a post-heat wave cooldown and onshore flow limiting afternoon peaks. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes of 80–81°F (47.5%) and 82–83°F (27%), as traders weigh ensemble guidance showing reduced humidity and cloud cover compared to earlier August peaks near 90°F. Historical Central Park data place the long-term average high around 84°F, but current steering patterns and sea-surface influences favor slightly below-normal readings for the date, with low odds for extremes above 85°F or below 78°F reflecting tight forecast confidence. Updated model runs and observations will refine these implied probabilities through the afternoon.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$33,059结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate moderating temperatures for New York City on August 16, 2026, with a projected high near 81–83°F amid a post-heat wave cooldown and onshore flow limiting afternoon peaks. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes of 80–81°F (47.5%) and 82–83°F (27%), as traders weigh ensemble guidance showing reduced humidity and cloud cover compared to earlier August peaks near 90°F. Historical Central Park data place the long-term average high around 84°F, but current steering patterns and sea-surface influences favor slightly below-normal readings for the date, with low odds for extremes above 85°F or below 78°F reflecting tight forecast confidence. Updated model runs and observations will refine these implied probabilities through the afternoon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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