Trader consensus around 24°C for Chengdu’s August 18 maximum reflects the latest forecast consensus from models such as those informing timeanddate and BBC outlooks, which project thundershowers, overcast skies, and highs of 26–29°C amid the ongoing East Asian monsoon. Persistent cloud cover and scattered rainfall are expected to limit daytime heating below the late-August climatological average of roughly 29–32°C, with recent model runs emphasizing increased precipitation probabilities over the Sichuan Basin. These conditions create a narrow window for the daily high, positioning 23–25°C as the most probable range while leaving limited room for warmer outcomes if clearing occurs earlier than anticipated. Updated NMC or CMA guidance on the 17th–18th will be the next key input before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日成都气温最高？
8月18日成都气温最高？
24°C 41%
23°C 24%
25°C 18%
22°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
20°C or below
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
10%
23°C
24%
24°C
41%
25°C
18%
26°C
8%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 41%
23°C 24%
25°C 18%
22°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
20°C or below
$190 交易量
3%
21°C
$252 交易量
1%
22°C
$262 交易量
10%
23°C
$1,241 交易量
24%
24°C
$3,214 交易量
41%
25°C
$245 交易量
18%
26°C
$377 交易量
8%
27°C
$358 交易量
4%
28°C
$214 交易量
2%
29°C
$324 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$774 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 24°C for Chengdu’s August 18 maximum reflects the latest forecast consensus from models such as those informing timeanddate and BBC outlooks, which project thundershowers, overcast skies, and highs of 26–29°C amid the ongoing East Asian monsoon. Persistent cloud cover and scattered rainfall are expected to limit daytime heating below the late-August climatological average of roughly 29–32°C, with recent model runs emphasizing increased precipitation probabilities over the Sichuan Basin. These conditions create a narrow window for the daily high, positioning 23–25°C as the most probable range while leaving limited room for warmer outcomes if clearing occurs earlier than anticipated. Updated NMC or CMA guidance on the 17th–18th will be the next key input before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$7,450结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 24°C for Chengdu’s August 18 maximum reflects the latest forecast consensus from models such as those informing timeanddate and BBC outlooks, which project thundershowers, overcast skies, and highs of 26–29°C amid the ongoing East Asian monsoon. Persistent cloud cover and scattered rainfall are expected to limit daytime heating below the late-August climatological average of roughly 29–32°C, with recent model runs emphasizing increased precipitation probabilities over the Sichuan Basin. These conditions create a narrow window for the daily high, positioning 23–25°C as the most probable range while leaving limited room for warmer outcomes if clearing occurs earlier than anticipated. Updated NMC or CMA guidance on the 17th–18th will be the next key input before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,450结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETTrader consensus around 24°C for Chengdu’s August 18 maximum reflects the latest forecast consensus from models such as those informing timeanddate and BBC outlooks, which project thundershowers, overcast skies, and highs of 26–29°C amid the ongoing East Asian monsoon. Persistent cloud cover and scattered rainfall are expected to limit daytime heating below the late-August climatological average of roughly 29–32°C, with recent model runs emphasizing increased precipitation probabilities over the Sichuan Basin. These conditions create a narrow window for the daily high, positioning 23–25°C as the most probable range while leaving limited room for warmer outcomes if clearing occurs earlier than anticipated. Updated NMC or CMA guidance on the 17th–18th will be the next key input before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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