Latest European and Dutch meteorological models from the ECMWF and KNMI indicate a maximum of 20–22°C in Amsterdam on August 18 under stable high pressure with light northwesterly winds and scattered light rain showers that may limit daytime heating. This consensus aligns with the market’s tight split favoring 21°C (31.5%) over 20°C (27%), reflecting minor variations across high-resolution runs and historical August averages near 21°C. Key differentiating variables include cloud cover extent, precipitation timing, and any afternoon clearing that could add or subtract 1–2°C, with updated model guidance and official KNMI observations expected to narrow the range ahead of the daily peak measurement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日阿姆斯特丹气温最高?
21°C 37%
20°C 27%
22°C 19%
19°C 15%
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
10%
19°C
15%
20°C
27%
21°C
30%
22°C
12%
23°C
5%
24°C或更高
4%
21°C 37%
20°C 27%
22°C 19%
19°C 15%
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
10%
19°C
15%
20°C
27%
21°C
30%
22°C
12%
23°C
5%
24°C或更高
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest European and Dutch meteorological models from the ECMWF and KNMI indicate a maximum of 20–22°C in Amsterdam on August 18 under stable high pressure with light northwesterly winds and scattered light rain showers that may limit daytime heating. This consensus aligns with the market’s tight split favoring 21°C (31.5%) over 20°C (27%), reflecting minor variations across high-resolution runs and historical August averages near 21°C. Key differentiating variables include cloud cover extent, precipitation timing, and any afternoon clearing that could add or subtract 1–2°C, with updated model guidance and official KNMI observations expected to narrow the range ahead of the daily peak measurement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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