Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute currently indicate a daily maximum near 21°C in Amsterdam on August 17 under cloudy skies, modest daytime heating, and light winds that limit additional warming. This consensus aligns with the 58% market-implied probability for 21°C as the peak, while the combined 38% odds on 20°C or 22°C reflect remaining uncertainty from minor variations in cloud cover or advection before the official 0–6 UTC measurement window at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol. August climatology supports this range, with historical averages near 21°C and low likelihood of extremes given the stable high-pressure influence. Updated high-resolution runs and any last-minute observational shifts could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
8月17日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
21°C 59%
20°C 24%
22°C 14%
19°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
24%
21°C
59%
22°C
14%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C或更高
<1%
21°C 59%
20°C 24%
22°C 14%
19°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
16°C or below
$527 交易量
<1%
17°C
$654 交易量
1%
18°C
$377 交易量
<1%
19°C
$543 交易量
4%
20°C
$826 交易量
24%
21°C
$2,691 交易量
59%
22°C
$1,256 交易量
14%
23°C
$839 交易量
3%
24°C
$379 交易量
1%
25°C
$391 交易量
1%
26°C或更高
$466 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute currently indicate a daily maximum near 21°C in Amsterdam on August 17 under cloudy skies, modest daytime heating, and light winds that limit additional warming. This consensus aligns with the 58% market-implied probability for 21°C as the peak, while the combined 38% odds on 20°C or 22°C reflect remaining uncertainty from minor variations in cloud cover or advection before the official 0–6 UTC measurement window at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol. August climatology supports this range, with historical averages near 21°C and low likelihood of extremes given the stable high-pressure influence. Updated high-resolution runs and any last-minute observational shifts could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
交易量
$8,946结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute currently indicate a daily maximum near 21°C in Amsterdam on August 17 under cloudy skies, modest daytime heating, and light winds that limit additional warming. This consensus aligns with the 58% market-implied probability for 21°C as the peak, while the combined 38% odds on 20°C or 22°C reflect remaining uncertainty from minor variations in cloud cover or advection before the official 0–6 UTC measurement window at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol. August climatology supports this range, with historical averages near 21°C and low likelihood of extremes given the stable high-pressure influence. Updated high-resolution runs and any last-minute observational shifts could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,946结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETForecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute currently indicate a daily maximum near 21°C in Amsterdam on August 17 under cloudy skies, modest daytime heating, and light winds that limit additional warming. This consensus aligns with the 58% market-implied probability for 21°C as the peak, while the combined 38% odds on 20°C or 22°C reflect remaining uncertainty from minor variations in cloud cover or advection before the official 0–6 UTC measurement window at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol. August climatology supports this range, with historical averages near 21°C and low likelihood of extremes given the stable high-pressure influence. Updated high-resolution runs and any last-minute observational shifts could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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