Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the DWD and ECMWF indicate a modest high of 21–23 °C in Munich on 17 August, driven by a weak Atlantic front bringing increased cloud cover, scattered thundery showers, and light westerly winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 22 °C and 23 °C, as any earlier or later timing of precipitation could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. August climatology places typical highs near 23 °C, but the current setup reflects cooler-than-average boundary-layer moisture and reduced insolation relative to recent clear-sky days. Model spread remains modest, with resolution hinging on the precise evolution of convective cells during peak afternoon heating.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日慕尼黑的最高温度?
23°C 41%
22°C 31%
21°C 15%
24°C 12%
20°C or below
6%
21°C
15%
22°C
31%
23°C
41%
24°C
12%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 41%
22°C 31%
21°C 15%
24°C 12%
20°C or below
6%
21°C
15%
22°C
31%
23°C
41%
24°C
12%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the DWD and ECMWF indicate a modest high of 21–23 °C in Munich on 17 August, driven by a weak Atlantic front bringing increased cloud cover, scattered thundery showers, and light westerly winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 22 °C and 23 °C, as any earlier or later timing of precipitation could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. August climatology places typical highs near 23 °C, but the current setup reflects cooler-than-average boundary-layer moisture and reduced insolation relative to recent clear-sky days. Model spread remains modest, with resolution hinging on the precise evolution of convective cells during peak afternoon heating.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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