National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on August 15, 2026, center on a daytime high near 77–80°F under moderate zonal flow aloft and persistent onshore marine air from the Pacific, which limits daytime heating despite a broader warmer-than-average Pacific Northwest summer. Typical August climatology at Sea-Tac shows normals of 78°F, with marine layer influence and light winds often capping peaks in the mid- to upper 70s when onshore flow strengthens. Recent observations confirm partly cloudy conditions and temperatures tracking close to these guidance values, keeping market-implied odds highest for 76–77°F while assigning meaningful probability to adjacent bins amid minor forecast spread.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日西雅图气温最高？
8月15日西雅图气温最高？
76-77°F 45%
78-79°F 22%
74-75°F 22%
80-81°F 8%
最新
$15,807 交易量
最新
$15,807 交易量
2026-08-15
73°F or below
4%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
45%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 45%
78-79°F 22%
74-75°F 22%
80-81°F 8%
最新
$15,807 交易量
最新
$15,807 交易量
2026-08-15
73°F or below
$4,942 交易量
4%
74-75°F
$2,028 交易量
22%
76-77°F
$2,047 交易量
45%
78-79°F
$1,904 交易量
22%
80-81°F
$1,804 交易量
8%
82-83°F
$387 交易量
4%
84-85°F
$1,003 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$720 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$317 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$315 交易量
<1%
92°F or higher
$361 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on August 15, 2026, center on a daytime high near 77–80°F under moderate zonal flow aloft and persistent onshore marine air from the Pacific, which limits daytime heating despite a broader warmer-than-average Pacific Northwest summer. Typical August climatology at Sea-Tac shows normals of 78°F, with marine layer influence and light winds often capping peaks in the mid- to upper 70s when onshore flow strengthens. Recent observations confirm partly cloudy conditions and temperatures tracking close to these guidance values, keeping market-implied odds highest for 76–77°F while assigning meaningful probability to adjacent bins amid minor forecast spread.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$15,807结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on August 15, 2026, center on a daytime high near 77–80°F under moderate zonal flow aloft and persistent onshore marine air from the Pacific, which limits daytime heating despite a broader warmer-than-average Pacific Northwest summer. Typical August climatology at Sea-Tac shows normals of 78°F, with marine layer influence and light winds often capping peaks in the mid- to upper 70s when onshore flow strengthens. Recent observations confirm partly cloudy conditions and temperatures tracking close to these guidance values, keeping market-implied odds highest for 76–77°F while assigning meaningful probability to adjacent bins amid minor forecast spread.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,807结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETNational Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on August 15, 2026, center on a daytime high near 77–80°F under moderate zonal flow aloft and persistent onshore marine air from the Pacific, which limits daytime heating despite a broader warmer-than-average Pacific Northwest summer. Typical August climatology at Sea-Tac shows normals of 78°F, with marine layer influence and light winds often capping peaks in the mid- to upper 70s when onshore flow strengthens. Recent observations confirm partly cloudy conditions and temperatures tracking close to these guidance values, keeping market-implied odds highest for 76–77°F while assigning meaningful probability to adjacent bins amid minor forecast spread.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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