Recent forecasts from global models indicate Moscow will experience a cooling trend on August 18, 2026, following warmer conditions around 25–27°C the prior day, positioning the daily maximum near 22–23°C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range because subtle variations in forecast guidance—such as the strength of northerly flow, cloud cover inhibiting daytime heating, and boundary-layer moisture—can shift the peak by 1°C. Official agencies like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and European models show limited spread at this short lead time, with resolution hinging on observed maximum readings from central Moscow stations. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide baseline context, but the current synoptic setup favors the tightly bunched 22°C and 23°C outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日莫斯科最高气温?
23°C 38%
22°C 34%
21°C 16%
24°C 11%
18°C or below
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
8%
21°C
16%
22°C
34%
23°C
38%
24°C
11%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
3%
23°C 38%
22°C 34%
21°C 16%
24°C 11%
18°C or below
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
8%
21°C
16%
22°C
34%
23°C
38%
24°C
11%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models indicate Moscow will experience a cooling trend on August 18, 2026, following warmer conditions around 25–27°C the prior day, positioning the daily maximum near 22–23°C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range because subtle variations in forecast guidance—such as the strength of northerly flow, cloud cover inhibiting daytime heating, and boundary-layer moisture—can shift the peak by 1°C. Official agencies like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and European models show limited spread at this short lead time, with resolution hinging on observed maximum readings from central Moscow stations. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide baseline context, but the current synoptic setup favors the tightly bunched 22°C and 23°C outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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