Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center place Moscow's August 17 maximum near 23–24 °C, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes. A transient ridge of high pressure combined with variable cloud cover and light winds is expected to limit daytime heating close to seasonal norms, while any increase in low-level moisture or thicker cloud could cap the peak a degree lower. Model spreads remain modest for this short lead time, though small shifts in frontal timing or insolation could still nudge the observed high between 22 °C and 25 °C. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and official updates from Roshydromet for refinements ahead of the daily maximum observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日莫斯科最高气温？
8月17日莫斯科最高气温？
24°C 46%
23°C 30%
25°C 13%
22°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
30%
24°C
46%
25°C
13%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 46%
23°C 30%
25°C 13%
22°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
19°C or below
$115 交易量
<1%
20°C
$158 交易量
2%
21°C
$159 交易量
2%
22°C
$269 交易量
7%
23°C
$568 交易量
30%
24°C
$353 交易量
46%
25°C
$1,119 交易量
13%
26°C
$254 交易量
4%
27°C
$203 交易量
2%
28°C
$225 交易量
1%
29°C or higher
$179 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center place Moscow's August 17 maximum near 23–24 °C, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes. A transient ridge of high pressure combined with variable cloud cover and light winds is expected to limit daytime heating close to seasonal norms, while any increase in low-level moisture or thicker cloud could cap the peak a degree lower. Model spreads remain modest for this short lead time, though small shifts in frontal timing or insolation could still nudge the observed high between 22 °C and 25 °C. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and official updates from Roshydromet for refinements ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
交易量
$3,594结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center place Moscow's August 17 maximum near 23–24 °C, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes. A transient ridge of high pressure combined with variable cloud cover and light winds is expected to limit daytime heating close to seasonal norms, while any increase in low-level moisture or thicker cloud could cap the peak a degree lower. Model spreads remain modest for this short lead time, though small shifts in frontal timing or insolation could still nudge the observed high between 22 °C and 25 °C. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and official updates from Roshydromet for refinements ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,594结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center place Moscow's August 17 maximum near 23–24 °C, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes. A transient ridge of high pressure combined with variable cloud cover and light winds is expected to limit daytime heating close to seasonal norms, while any increase in low-level moisture or thicker cloud could cap the peak a degree lower. Model spreads remain modest for this short lead time, though small shifts in frontal timing or insolation could still nudge the observed high between 22 °C and 25 °C. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and official updates from Roshydromet for refinements ahead of the daily maximum observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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