Ensemble forecasts from global models place Qingdao's August 18 maximum temperature most likely between 32–33 °C, driven by persistent warm advection over the Yellow Sea combined with increasing cloud cover that limits diurnal heating. Coastal sea-breeze effects and modest low-level moisture introduce small but decisive spreads: stronger onshore flow or scattered convection could cap the peak near 32 °C, while clearer afternoon skies favor a brief push to 34 °C. Historical August climatology shows daily maxima averaging near 30 °C, so current model consensus reflects a modest positive anomaly. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF expected within 24 hours will narrow the envelope ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日青岛气温最高？
8月18日青岛气温最高？
33°C 35%
32°C 26%
34°C 23%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
11%
32°C
26%
33°C
35%
34°C
23%
35°C
10%
36°C
5%
37°C或更高
9%
33°C 35%
32°C 26%
34°C 23%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
27°C或以下
$137 交易量
<1%
28°C
$27 交易量
<1%
29°C
$18 交易量
1%
30°C
$10 交易量
2%
31°C
$21 交易量
11%
32°C
$18 交易量
26%
33°C
$365 交易量
35%
34°C
$52 交易量
23%
35°C
$50 交易量
10%
36°C
$78 交易量
5%
37°C或更高
$37 交易量
9%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from global models place Qingdao's August 18 maximum temperature most likely between 32–33 °C, driven by persistent warm advection over the Yellow Sea combined with increasing cloud cover that limits diurnal heating. Coastal sea-breeze effects and modest low-level moisture introduce small but decisive spreads: stronger onshore flow or scattered convection could cap the peak near 32 °C, while clearer afternoon skies favor a brief push to 34 °C. Historical August climatology shows daily maxima averaging near 30 °C, so current model consensus reflects a modest positive anomaly. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF expected within 24 hours will narrow the envelope ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$812结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from global models place Qingdao's August 18 maximum temperature most likely between 32–33 °C, driven by persistent warm advection over the Yellow Sea combined with increasing cloud cover that limits diurnal heating. Coastal sea-breeze effects and modest low-level moisture introduce small but decisive spreads: stronger onshore flow or scattered convection could cap the peak near 32 °C, while clearer afternoon skies favor a brief push to 34 °C. Historical August climatology shows daily maxima averaging near 30 °C, so current model consensus reflects a modest positive anomaly. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF expected within 24 hours will narrow the envelope ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$812结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETEnsemble forecasts from global models place Qingdao's August 18 maximum temperature most likely between 32–33 °C, driven by persistent warm advection over the Yellow Sea combined with increasing cloud cover that limits diurnal heating. Coastal sea-breeze effects and modest low-level moisture introduce small but decisive spreads: stronger onshore flow or scattered convection could cap the peak near 32 °C, while clearer afternoon skies favor a brief push to 34 °C. Historical August climatology shows daily maxima averaging near 30 °C, so current model consensus reflects a modest positive anomaly. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF expected within 24 hours will narrow the envelope ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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