Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like AccuWeather converge on a daily maximum of 30–33°C for Qingdao on August 17, 2026, with partly cloudy conditions and light northerly winds limiting daytime heating. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea often caps extremes below the 35°C+ peaks seen earlier in the month inland. The market’s heaviest weighting on 32–33°C reflects the tight clustering of ensemble guidance and absence of strong warming signals such as clear skies or southerly flow. Updated model runs overnight will be the next key input for traders assessing any shifts in implied probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日青岛气温最高？
8月17日青岛气温最高？
33°C 43%
32°C 26%
34°C 22%
31°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
28℃或以下
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
5%
31°C
8%
32°C
26%
33°C
43%
34°C
22%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37℃
1%
38°C或更高
<1%
33°C 43%
32°C 26%
34°C 22%
31°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
28℃或以下
$119 交易量
1%
29°C
$27 交易量
<1%
30°C
$45 交易量
5%
31°C
$585 交易量
8%
32°C
$680 交易量
26%
33°C
$1,193 交易量
43%
34°C
$382 交易量
22%
35°C
$127 交易量
5%
36°C
$27 交易量
2%
37℃
$47 交易量
1%
38°C或更高
$40 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like AccuWeather converge on a daily maximum of 30–33°C for Qingdao on August 17, 2026, with partly cloudy conditions and light northerly winds limiting daytime heating. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea often caps extremes below the 35°C+ peaks seen earlier in the month inland. The market’s heaviest weighting on 32–33°C reflects the tight clustering of ensemble guidance and absence of strong warming signals such as clear skies or southerly flow. Updated model runs overnight will be the next key input for traders assessing any shifts in implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
交易量
$3,273结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like AccuWeather converge on a daily maximum of 30–33°C for Qingdao on August 17, 2026, with partly cloudy conditions and light northerly winds limiting daytime heating. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea often caps extremes below the 35°C+ peaks seen earlier in the month inland. The market’s heaviest weighting on 32–33°C reflects the tight clustering of ensemble guidance and absence of strong warming signals such as clear skies or southerly flow. Updated model runs overnight will be the next key input for traders assessing any shifts in implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,273结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ETForecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like AccuWeather converge on a daily maximum of 30–33°C for Qingdao on August 17, 2026, with partly cloudy conditions and light northerly winds limiting daytime heating. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea often caps extremes below the 35°C+ peaks seen earlier in the month inland. The market’s heaviest weighting on 32–33°C reflects the tight clustering of ensemble guidance and absence of strong warming signals such as clear skies or southerly flow. Updated model runs overnight will be the next key input for traders assessing any shifts in implied probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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