Recent Met Office forecasts for London indicate an overnight minimum of 16°C on August 18 under partly cloudy skies with daytime highs near 27°C, positioning 16–19°C as the leading market outcomes. These probabilities reflect consensus from numerical weather prediction models showing mild Atlantic-influenced air masses and moderate radiative cooling typical for mid-August climatology, with average historical lows around 14–16°C. Stable high-pressure patterns over the past several days have limited model spread and reduced the chance of sharper nocturnal drops, though any increase in cloud cover or wind could nudge readings toward 17–18°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these implied odds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日伦敦最低气温?
18°C 49%
19°C 27%
17°C 19%
16°C 6%
14°C或更低
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
6%
17°C
19%
18°C
49%
19°C
27%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C或更高
<1%
18°C 49%
19°C 27%
17°C 19%
16°C 6%
14°C或更低
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
6%
17°C
19%
18°C
49%
19°C
27%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office forecasts for London indicate an overnight minimum of 16°C on August 18 under partly cloudy skies with daytime highs near 27°C, positioning 16–19°C as the leading market outcomes. These probabilities reflect consensus from numerical weather prediction models showing mild Atlantic-influenced air masses and moderate radiative cooling typical for mid-August climatology, with average historical lows around 14–16°C. Stable high-pressure patterns over the past several days have limited model spread and reduced the chance of sharper nocturnal drops, though any increase in cloud cover or wind could nudge readings toward 17–18°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these implied odds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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