Latest forecast guidance from the Met Office and ECMWF indicates London will see a maximum temperature in the mid-20s Celsius on August 18 amid partly cloudy skies and moderate winds following mid-month heat, supporting the market’s clustering around 24–26 °C outcomes. Broader 2026 summer warmth, already running nearly 2 °C above average with record potential, provides context but yields to shorter-term variables such as cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and any late steering-pattern shifts that could add or subtract 1–2 °C from peak readings. Model spread and the two-day lead time sustain the observed probability distribution, with new runs and observational updates expected to refine trader positioning before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日伦敦气温最高？
8月18日伦敦气温最高？
25°C 25%
24°C 20%
26°C 16%
27°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
22°C or below
7%
23°C
8%
24°C
20%
25°C
34%
26°C
16%
27°C
10%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 25%
24°C 20%
26°C 16%
27°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
22°C or below
$346 交易量
7%
23°C
$263 交易量
8%
24°C
$983 交易量
20%
25°C
$2,625 交易量
34%
26°C
$1,366 交易量
16%
27°C
$303 交易量
10%
28°C
$114 交易量
2%
29°C
$243 交易量
1%
30°C
$267 交易量
<1%
31°C
$267 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$267 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from the Met Office and ECMWF indicates London will see a maximum temperature in the mid-20s Celsius on August 18 amid partly cloudy skies and moderate winds following mid-month heat, supporting the market’s clustering around 24–26 °C outcomes. Broader 2026 summer warmth, already running nearly 2 °C above average with record potential, provides context but yields to shorter-term variables such as cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and any late steering-pattern shifts that could add or subtract 1–2 °C from peak readings. Model spread and the two-day lead time sustain the observed probability distribution, with new runs and observational updates expected to refine trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$7,044结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from the Met Office and ECMWF indicates London will see a maximum temperature in the mid-20s Celsius on August 18 amid partly cloudy skies and moderate winds following mid-month heat, supporting the market’s clustering around 24–26 °C outcomes. Broader 2026 summer warmth, already running nearly 2 °C above average with record potential, provides context but yields to shorter-term variables such as cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and any late steering-pattern shifts that could add or subtract 1–2 °C from peak readings. Model spread and the two-day lead time sustain the observed probability distribution, with new runs and observational updates expected to refine trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,044结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETLatest forecast guidance from the Met Office and ECMWF indicates London will see a maximum temperature in the mid-20s Celsius on August 18 amid partly cloudy skies and moderate winds following mid-month heat, supporting the market’s clustering around 24–26 °C outcomes. Broader 2026 summer warmth, already running nearly 2 °C above average with record potential, provides context but yields to shorter-term variables such as cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and any late steering-pattern shifts that could add or subtract 1–2 °C from peak readings. Model spread and the two-day lead time sustain the observed probability distribution, with new runs and observational updates expected to refine trader positioning before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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