Latest Met Office guidance projects a daytime maximum of 27°C for London on August 17 under sunny intervals and light easterly winds, keeping the market tightly clustered around 26–27°C. This reflects post-heatwave stabilization after the mid-August spike, with high pressure maintaining above-average warmth while increasing afternoon cloud cover limits further intensification. Ensemble model spreads show modest variability tied to exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, creating the narrow 25–27°C band that accounts for over 89% of implied probability. Traders are monitoring the next model cycle and any rapid changes in insolation or advection for the final resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日伦敦气温最高？
8月17日伦敦气温最高？
26°C 39%
27°C 30%
25°C 22%
28°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
22%
26°C
39%
27°C
30%
28°C
9%
29°C
2%
30°C或更高
<1%
26°C 39%
27°C 30%
25°C 22%
28°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
20°C或以下
$88 交易量
<1%
21°C
$88 交易量
<1%
22°C
$93 交易量
1%
23°C
$725 交易量
1%
24°C
$251 交易量
4%
25°C
$1,759 交易量
22%
26°C
$896 交易量
39%
27°C
$1,523 交易量
30%
28°C
$555 交易量
9%
29°C
$226 交易量
2%
30°C或更高
$159 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance projects a daytime maximum of 27°C for London on August 17 under sunny intervals and light easterly winds, keeping the market tightly clustered around 26–27°C. This reflects post-heatwave stabilization after the mid-August spike, with high pressure maintaining above-average warmth while increasing afternoon cloud cover limits further intensification. Ensemble model spreads show modest variability tied to exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, creating the narrow 25–27°C band that accounts for over 89% of implied probability. Traders are monitoring the next model cycle and any rapid changes in insolation or advection for the final resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
交易量
$6,364结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance projects a daytime maximum of 27°C for London on August 17 under sunny intervals and light easterly winds, keeping the market tightly clustered around 26–27°C. This reflects post-heatwave stabilization after the mid-August spike, with high pressure maintaining above-average warmth while increasing afternoon cloud cover limits further intensification. Ensemble model spreads show modest variability tied to exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, creating the narrow 25–27°C band that accounts for over 89% of implied probability. Traders are monitoring the next model cycle and any rapid changes in insolation or advection for the final resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,364结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETLatest Met Office guidance projects a daytime maximum of 27°C for London on August 17 under sunny intervals and light easterly winds, keeping the market tightly clustered around 26–27°C. This reflects post-heatwave stabilization after the mid-August spike, with high pressure maintaining above-average warmth while increasing afternoon cloud cover limits further intensification. Ensemble model spreads show modest variability tied to exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, creating the narrow 25–27°C band that accounts for over 89% of implied probability. Traders are monitoring the next model cycle and any rapid changes in insolation or advection for the final resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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