Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate London’s daytime maximum on August 16 will likely peak near 26–28 °C after the intense heat dome that delivered a provisional 38.1 °C at Kew Gardens earlier in the week. Northerly flow and weakening high pressure are advecting cooler maritime air, moderating temperatures while limiting cloud cover that could otherwise suppress afternoon readings. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with the highest probability centered on 26 °C. Resolution hinges on the exact timing of any frontal passage and local urban heat-island effects measured at official stations. Updated model runs and the Met Office’s next briefing are the next key catalysts for shifts in market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日伦敦气温最高？
8月16日伦敦气温最高？
26°C 42%
27°C 29%
25°C 18%
28°C 6%
最新
$14,358 交易量
最新
$14,358 交易量
2026-08-16
23°C or below
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
18%
26°C
42%
27°C
29%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 42%
27°C 29%
25°C 18%
28°C 6%
最新
$14,358 交易量
最新
$14,358 交易量
2026-08-16
23°C or below
$1,565 交易量
3%
24°C
$1,230 交易量
3%
25°C
$4,189 交易量
18%
26°C
$1,946 交易量
42%
27°C
$2,188 交易量
29%
28°C
$771 交易量
6%
29°C
$569 交易量
2%
30°C
$710 交易量
<1%
31°C
$301 交易量
<1%
32°C
$452 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$452 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate London’s daytime maximum on August 16 will likely peak near 26–28 °C after the intense heat dome that delivered a provisional 38.1 °C at Kew Gardens earlier in the week. Northerly flow and weakening high pressure are advecting cooler maritime air, moderating temperatures while limiting cloud cover that could otherwise suppress afternoon readings. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with the highest probability centered on 26 °C. Resolution hinges on the exact timing of any frontal passage and local urban heat-island effects measured at official stations. Updated model runs and the Met Office’s next briefing are the next key catalysts for shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$14,358结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate London’s daytime maximum on August 16 will likely peak near 26–28 °C after the intense heat dome that delivered a provisional 38.1 °C at Kew Gardens earlier in the week. Northerly flow and weakening high pressure are advecting cooler maritime air, moderating temperatures while limiting cloud cover that could otherwise suppress afternoon readings. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with the highest probability centered on 26 °C. Resolution hinges on the exact timing of any frontal passage and local urban heat-island effects measured at official stations. Updated model runs and the Met Office’s next briefing are the next key catalysts for shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,358结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate London’s daytime maximum on August 16 will likely peak near 26–28 °C after the intense heat dome that delivered a provisional 38.1 °C at Kew Gardens earlier in the week. Northerly flow and weakening high pressure are advecting cooler maritime air, moderating temperatures while limiting cloud cover that could otherwise suppress afternoon readings. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with the highest probability centered on 26 °C. Resolution hinges on the exact timing of any frontal passage and local urban heat-island effects measured at official stations. Updated model runs and the Met Office’s next briefing are the next key catalysts for shifts in market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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