Current forecast models from sources including timeanddate and Chinese meteorological services point to a daily high near 31–32°C in Shanghai on August 17, driven by subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, moderate southwesterly flow, and increasing cloud cover plus scattered thundershowers that limit daytime heating. These align with the market-implied probabilities favoring 31°C at 44.5% and nearby brackets, as recent observations show similar moderated peaks around 29–30°C amid variable rainfall. Model consensus incorporates typical August climatology of 31°C averages while noting uncertainty from potential shifts in storm timing or clearer skies that could push readings slightly higher or lower before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日上海气温最高？
8月17日上海气温最高？
31°C 45%
30°C 28%
32°C 17%
29°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
28%
31°C
45%
32°C
17%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 45%
30°C 28%
32°C 17%
29°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
25°C or below
$159 交易量
<1%
26°C
$159 交易量
<1%
27°C
$51 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,073 交易量
3%
29°C
$1,876 交易量
5%
30°C
$627 交易量
28%
31°C
$1,236 交易量
45%
32°C
$1,531 交易量
17%
33°C
$505 交易量
3%
34°C
$1,465 交易量
<1%
35°C or higher
$640 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including timeanddate and Chinese meteorological services point to a daily high near 31–32°C in Shanghai on August 17, driven by subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, moderate southwesterly flow, and increasing cloud cover plus scattered thundershowers that limit daytime heating. These align with the market-implied probabilities favoring 31°C at 44.5% and nearby brackets, as recent observations show similar moderated peaks around 29–30°C amid variable rainfall. Model consensus incorporates typical August climatology of 31°C averages while noting uncertainty from potential shifts in storm timing or clearer skies that could push readings slightly higher or lower before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
交易量
$9,323结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including timeanddate and Chinese meteorological services point to a daily high near 31–32°C in Shanghai on August 17, driven by subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, moderate southwesterly flow, and increasing cloud cover plus scattered thundershowers that limit daytime heating. These align with the market-implied probabilities favoring 31°C at 44.5% and nearby brackets, as recent observations show similar moderated peaks around 29–30°C amid variable rainfall. Model consensus incorporates typical August climatology of 31°C averages while noting uncertainty from potential shifts in storm timing or clearer skies that could push readings slightly higher or lower before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,323结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETCurrent forecast models from sources including timeanddate and Chinese meteorological services point to a daily high near 31–32°C in Shanghai on August 17, driven by subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, moderate southwesterly flow, and increasing cloud cover plus scattered thundershowers that limit daytime heating. These align with the market-implied probabilities favoring 31°C at 44.5% and nearby brackets, as recent observations show similar moderated peaks around 29–30°C amid variable rainfall. Model consensus incorporates typical August climatology of 31°C averages while noting uncertainty from potential shifts in storm timing or clearer skies that could push readings slightly higher or lower before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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