Trader sentiment for Shanghai's August 18 minimum temperature centers on the tight contest between 26°C and 27°C, reflecting forecast model divergence in nocturnal radiative cooling under subtropical summer conditions. Variable humidity, cloud cover, and light winds tied to the East Asian monsoon create uncertainty over how much heat the urban boundary layer retains overnight, with recent model runs showing small differences in expected precipitation and steering patterns. Official guidance from meteorological agencies indicates typical August minima near these levels, but updated data releases in the next 48 hours could shift probabilities as new observations refine the temperature range. Traders weigh this scientific uncertainty against historical baselines for the region.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日上海最低气温？
8月18日上海最低气温？
26°C 43%
27°C 42%
28°C 11%
25°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
10%
26°C
43%
27°C
40%
28°C
11%
29°C
3%
30°C或更高
1%
26°C 43%
27°C 42%
28°C 11%
25°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
20°C或以下
$462 交易量
<1%
21°C
$462 交易量
<1%
22°C
$5 交易量
<1%
23°C
$5 交易量
2%
24°C
$0 交易量
5%
25°C
$0 交易量
10%
26°C
$141 交易量
43%
27°C
$156 交易量
40%
28°C
$61 交易量
11%
29°C
$81 交易量
3%
30°C或更高
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Shanghai's August 18 minimum temperature centers on the tight contest between 26°C and 27°C, reflecting forecast model divergence in nocturnal radiative cooling under subtropical summer conditions. Variable humidity, cloud cover, and light winds tied to the East Asian monsoon create uncertainty over how much heat the urban boundary layer retains overnight, with recent model runs showing small differences in expected precipitation and steering patterns. Official guidance from meteorological agencies indicates typical August minima near these levels, but updated data releases in the next 48 hours could shift probabilities as new observations refine the temperature range. Traders weigh this scientific uncertainty against historical baselines for the region.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$1,379结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Shanghai's August 18 minimum temperature centers on the tight contest between 26°C and 27°C, reflecting forecast model divergence in nocturnal radiative cooling under subtropical summer conditions. Variable humidity, cloud cover, and light winds tied to the East Asian monsoon create uncertainty over how much heat the urban boundary layer retains overnight, with recent model runs showing small differences in expected precipitation and steering patterns. Official guidance from meteorological agencies indicates typical August minima near these levels, but updated data releases in the next 48 hours could shift probabilities as new observations refine the temperature range. Traders weigh this scientific uncertainty against historical baselines for the region.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,379结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETTrader sentiment for Shanghai's August 18 minimum temperature centers on the tight contest between 26°C and 27°C, reflecting forecast model divergence in nocturnal radiative cooling under subtropical summer conditions. Variable humidity, cloud cover, and light winds tied to the East Asian monsoon create uncertainty over how much heat the urban boundary layer retains overnight, with recent model runs showing small differences in expected precipitation and steering patterns. Official guidance from meteorological agencies indicates typical August minima near these levels, but updated data releases in the next 48 hours could shift probabilities as new observations refine the temperature range. Traders weigh this scientific uncertainty against historical baselines for the region.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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