Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate mostly sunny skies and high pressure over southeast Texas through August 17, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 90s°F amid typical late-summer insolation and low precipitable water. Houston’s urban heat island and light southeasterly flow further favor peak readings near 96–97°F, aligning with the market’s leading 57.5% implied probability. Drier antecedent conditions have limited evaporative cooling, while climatological August averages hover near 93–95°F, providing a baseline traders are adjusting upward based on the current subsidence pattern. Model spread remains modest, with limited upside risk to 100°F or higher absent unexpected moisture or wind shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日休斯顿的最高温度？
8月17日休斯顿的最高温度？
96-97°F 57%
98-99°F 25%
94-95°F 13%
100-101°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
13%
96-97°F
57%
98-99°F
25%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107华氏度
<1%
108°F或更高
<1%
96-97°F 57%
98-99°F 25%
94-95°F 13%
100-101°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
89°F或以下
$279 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$417 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$77 交易量
4%
94-95°F
$124 交易量
13%
96-97°F
$598 交易量
57%
98-99°F
$272 交易量
25%
100-101°F
$99 交易量
5%
102-103°F
$71 交易量
2%
104-105°F
$71 交易量
<1%
106-107华氏度
$102 交易量
<1%
108°F或更高
$250 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate mostly sunny skies and high pressure over southeast Texas through August 17, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 90s°F amid typical late-summer insolation and low precipitable water. Houston’s urban heat island and light southeasterly flow further favor peak readings near 96–97°F, aligning with the market’s leading 57.5% implied probability. Drier antecedent conditions have limited evaporative cooling, while climatological August averages hover near 93–95°F, providing a baseline traders are adjusting upward based on the current subsidence pattern. Model spread remains modest, with limited upside risk to 100°F or higher absent unexpected moisture or wind shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
交易量
$2,359结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate mostly sunny skies and high pressure over southeast Texas through August 17, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 90s°F amid typical late-summer insolation and low precipitable water. Houston’s urban heat island and light southeasterly flow further favor peak readings near 96–97°F, aligning with the market’s leading 57.5% implied probability. Drier antecedent conditions have limited evaporative cooling, while climatological August averages hover near 93–95°F, providing a baseline traders are adjusting upward based on the current subsidence pattern. Model spread remains modest, with limited upside risk to 100°F or higher absent unexpected moisture or wind shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,359结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate mostly sunny skies and high pressure over southeast Texas through August 17, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 90s°F amid typical late-summer insolation and low precipitable water. Houston’s urban heat island and light southeasterly flow further favor peak readings near 96–97°F, aligning with the market’s leading 57.5% implied probability. Drier antecedent conditions have limited evaporative cooling, while climatological August averages hover near 93–95°F, providing a baseline traders are adjusting upward based on the current subsidence pattern. Model spread remains modest, with limited upside risk to 100°F or higher absent unexpected moisture or wind shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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