Persistent high pressure and mostly sunny conditions over Houston are positioning the daily high near the upper 90s on August 16, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance showing 95–98°F under strong southerly Gulf flow and limited afternoon convection. This setup favors the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 48.5% implied probability, as typical late-summer insolation and modest sea-breeze moderation rarely exceed 98°F in mid-August climatology. Recent model runs reinforce the mid-to-upper 90s range while assigning only low-single-digit odds to 100°F+ outcomes, reflecting historical rarity and the slim chance of clearer skies boosting peak temperatures. Traders are weighting these forecasts heavily given the day’s resolution criteria at official stations like Hobby Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日休斯顿的最高温度？
8月16日休斯顿的最高温度？
96-97°F 51%
94-95°F 26%
98-99°F 22%
92-93°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
26%
96-97°F
51%
98-99°F
22%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106华氏度或更高
<1%
96-97°F 51%
94-95°F 26%
98-99°F 22%
92-93°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
87°F or below
$40 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$639 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$185 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$381 交易量
4%
94-95°F
$639 交易量
26%
96-97°F
$1,382 交易量
51%
98-99°F
$316 交易量
22%
100-101°F
$233 交易量
3%
102-103°F
$163 交易量
1%
104-105°F
$52 交易量
<1%
106华氏度或更高
$654 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and mostly sunny conditions over Houston are positioning the daily high near the upper 90s on August 16, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance showing 95–98°F under strong southerly Gulf flow and limited afternoon convection. This setup favors the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 48.5% implied probability, as typical late-summer insolation and modest sea-breeze moderation rarely exceed 98°F in mid-August climatology. Recent model runs reinforce the mid-to-upper 90s range while assigning only low-single-digit odds to 100°F+ outcomes, reflecting historical rarity and the slim chance of clearer skies boosting peak temperatures. Traders are weighting these forecasts heavily given the day’s resolution criteria at official stations like Hobby Airport.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
交易量
$4,685结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and mostly sunny conditions over Houston are positioning the daily high near the upper 90s on August 16, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance showing 95–98°F under strong southerly Gulf flow and limited afternoon convection. This setup favors the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 48.5% implied probability, as typical late-summer insolation and modest sea-breeze moderation rarely exceed 98°F in mid-August climatology. Recent model runs reinforce the mid-to-upper 90s range while assigning only low-single-digit odds to 100°F+ outcomes, reflecting historical rarity and the slim chance of clearer skies boosting peak temperatures. Traders are weighting these forecasts heavily given the day’s resolution criteria at official stations like Hobby Airport.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,685结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETPersistent high pressure and mostly sunny conditions over Houston are positioning the daily high near the upper 90s on August 16, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance showing 95–98°F under strong southerly Gulf flow and limited afternoon convection. This setup favors the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 48.5% implied probability, as typical late-summer insolation and modest sea-breeze moderation rarely exceed 98°F in mid-August climatology. Recent model runs reinforce the mid-to-upper 90s range while assigning only low-single-digit odds to 100°F+ outcomes, reflecting historical rarity and the slim chance of clearer skies boosting peak temperatures. Traders are weighting these forecasts heavily given the day’s resolution criteria at official stations like Hobby Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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