Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate Houston highs on August 15 will most likely reach the mid-90s, aligning with the market’s leading 96-97°F (45%) and 94-95°F (33.5%) bins. Typical late-summer conditions—strong daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, high humidity, and only isolated afternoon thunderstorms—are expected to limit significant cooling while preventing extreme outliers. Historical August averages near 95°F and the absence of incoming fronts or tropical moisture shifts reinforce this narrow range, with traders weighting model consensus heavily ahead of final observations from official reporting stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日休斯顿的最高温度？
8月15日休斯顿的最高温度？
96-97°F 45%
94-95°F 34%
98-99°F 11%
92-93°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
85°F或以下
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
34%
96-97°F
45%
98-99°F
11%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F或更高
<1%
96-97°F 45%
94-95°F 34%
98-99°F 11%
92-93°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
85°F或以下
$119 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$145 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$186 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$126 交易量
2%
92-93°F
$164 交易量
6%
94-95°F
$332 交易量
34%
96-97°F
$1,598 交易量
45%
98-99°F
$257 交易量
11%
100-101°F
$50 交易量
3%
102-103°F
$236 交易量
<1%
104°F或更高
$366 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate Houston highs on August 15 will most likely reach the mid-90s, aligning with the market’s leading 96-97°F (45%) and 94-95°F (33.5%) bins. Typical late-summer conditions—strong daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, high humidity, and only isolated afternoon thunderstorms—are expected to limit significant cooling while preventing extreme outliers. Historical August averages near 95°F and the absence of incoming fronts or tropical moisture shifts reinforce this narrow range, with traders weighting model consensus heavily ahead of final observations from official reporting stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
交易量
$3,580结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate Houston highs on August 15 will most likely reach the mid-90s, aligning with the market’s leading 96-97°F (45%) and 94-95°F (33.5%) bins. Typical late-summer conditions—strong daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, high humidity, and only isolated afternoon thunderstorms—are expected to limit significant cooling while preventing extreme outliers. Historical August averages near 95°F and the absence of incoming fronts or tropical moisture shifts reinforce this narrow range, with traders weighting model consensus heavily ahead of final observations from official reporting stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,580结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate Houston highs on August 15 will most likely reach the mid-90s, aligning with the market’s leading 96-97°F (45%) and 94-95°F (33.5%) bins. Typical late-summer conditions—strong daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, high humidity, and only isolated afternoon thunderstorms—are expected to limit significant cooling while preventing extreme outliers. Historical August averages near 95°F and the absence of incoming fronts or tropical moisture shifts reinforce this narrow range, with traders weighting model consensus heavily ahead of final observations from official reporting stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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