Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature near 30–32°C for Busan on August 17 amid lingering summer heat driven by the North Pacific High, with scattered afternoon showers possible that could limit peak readings. This creates genuine uncertainty in the exact daily high, as model runs show variability in cloud cover, precipitation timing, and localized sea-breeze effects along the coast. Historical August baselines for Busan place typical highs between 29–31°C, providing context for why trader consensus clusters tightly around 27–29°C rather than extremes. Upcoming updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow will refine these probabilities, which currently reflect aggregated assessment of forecast spread rather than a single deterministic outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日釜山气温最高?
28°C 31%
27°C 25%
29°C 24%
26°C 12.4%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
12%
27°C
25%
28°C
31%
29°C
24%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
2%
28°C 31%
27°C 25%
29°C 24%
26°C 12.4%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
12%
27°C
25%
28°C
31%
29°C
24%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature near 30–32°C for Busan on August 17 amid lingering summer heat driven by the North Pacific High, with scattered afternoon showers possible that could limit peak readings. This creates genuine uncertainty in the exact daily high, as model runs show variability in cloud cover, precipitation timing, and localized sea-breeze effects along the coast. Historical August baselines for Busan place typical highs between 29–31°C, providing context for why trader consensus clusters tightly around 27–29°C rather than extremes. Upcoming updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow will refine these probabilities, which currently reflect aggregated assessment of forecast spread rather than a single deterministic outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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