The closely matched market-implied odds between 33°C (41.5%) and 34°C (44.5%) stem from ensemble weather models projecting a narrow range for Kuala Lumpur’s August 17 maximum, consistent with the city’s equatorial climate where typical daytime highs average 32–33°C. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and convective activity that can limit solar insolation and cap temperatures versus clearer conditions or stronger urban heat island effects that allow peaks near 34–35°C. Official guidance from agencies like the Malaysian Meteorological Department and global models such as ECMWF or GFS emphasize this uncertainty, with isolated thunderstorms potentially moderating the high. Fresh model updates and satellite observations over the next 24 hours will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution based on verified station readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日吉隆坡气温最高?
34°C 45%
33°C 42%
35°C 7%
32°C 6%
$13,654 交易量
$13,654 交易量
28℃或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
42%
34°C
45%
35°C
7%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或更高
<1%
34°C 45%
33°C 42%
35°C 7%
32°C 6%
$13,654 交易量
$13,654 交易量
28℃或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
42%
34°C
45%
35°C
7%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The closely matched market-implied odds between 33°C (41.5%) and 34°C (44.5%) stem from ensemble weather models projecting a narrow range for Kuala Lumpur’s August 17 maximum, consistent with the city’s equatorial climate where typical daytime highs average 32–33°C. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and convective activity that can limit solar insolation and cap temperatures versus clearer conditions or stronger urban heat island effects that allow peaks near 34–35°C. Official guidance from agencies like the Malaysian Meteorological Department and global models such as ECMWF or GFS emphasize this uncertainty, with isolated thunderstorms potentially moderating the high. Fresh model updates and satellite observations over the next 24 hours will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution based on verified station readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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