**Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) point to a daytime maximum of 35°C in Taipei on August 17, with mostly clear skies and a 20% chance of afternoon thundershowers.** This aligns with typical August conditions in the region, where highs average around 32–34°C amid high humidity and strong solar radiation. Trader consensus splits narrowly between the 35°C (42%) and 36°C (37.5%) outcomes because minor variations in cloud cover, shower timing, or urban heat island effects could push the peak slightly higher or cap it lower. Afternoon convective activity often develops due to daytime heating and moisture, potentially limiting maximum temperatures through increased cloud shading or brief cooling. Historical August data shows occasional exceedances of 35°C under clear, stable high-pressure patterns, but recent model runs emphasize the risk of localized showers that could keep readings at or below the official forecast. Upcoming CWA updates and refined numerical weather prediction outputs in the next 12–24 hours will likely clarify whether conditions trend toward full clearing or increased convective inhibition of the peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日台北气温最高?
35°C 45%
36°C 38%
34°C 11%
37°C 8%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
11%
35°C
45%
36°C
38%
37°C
8%
38°C or higher
<1%
35°C 45%
36°C 38%
34°C 11%
37°C 8%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
11%
35°C
45%
36°C
38%
37°C
8%
38°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) point to a daytime maximum of 35°C in Taipei on August 17, with mostly clear skies and a 20% chance of afternoon thundershowers.** This aligns with typical August conditions in the region, where highs average around 32–34°C amid high humidity and strong solar radiation. Trader consensus splits narrowly between the 35°C (42%) and 36°C (37.5%) outcomes because minor variations in cloud cover, shower timing, or urban heat island effects could push the peak slightly higher or cap it lower. Afternoon convective activity often develops due to daytime heating and moisture, potentially limiting maximum temperatures through increased cloud shading or brief cooling. Historical August data shows occasional exceedances of 35°C under clear, stable high-pressure patterns, but recent model runs emphasize the risk of localized showers that could keep readings at or below the official forecast. Upcoming CWA updates and refined numerical weather prediction outputs in the next 12–24 hours will likely clarify whether conditions trend toward full clearing or increased convective inhibition of the peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题