Busan’s coastal setting and sea breezes, combined with elevated humidity typical of mid-August, are moderating peak temperatures despite strong solar heating. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble models currently project a daytime maximum near 33 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with only a 20 % precipitation chance and light northeasterly flow. These conditions support the market’s heavy concentration on 31–33 °C outcomes (collectively over 79 % implied probability), while the modest tail on 34 °C reflects residual uncertainty from possible variations in cloud cover or steering flow two days out. Historical August averages of 29–31 °C provide context for the current elevated but not extreme forecast.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日釜山气温最高?
32°C 37%
31°C 26%
33°C 19%
30°C 7%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
26%
32°C
37%
33°C
19%
34°C
7%
35°C
3%
36℃或更高
<1%
32°C 37%
31°C 26%
33°C 19%
30°C 7%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
26%
32°C
37%
33°C
19%
34°C
7%
35°C
3%
36℃或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Busan’s coastal setting and sea breezes, combined with elevated humidity typical of mid-August, are moderating peak temperatures despite strong solar heating. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble models currently project a daytime maximum near 33 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with only a 20 % precipitation chance and light northeasterly flow. These conditions support the market’s heavy concentration on 31–33 °C outcomes (collectively over 79 % implied probability), while the modest tail on 34 °C reflects residual uncertainty from possible variations in cloud cover or steering flow two days out. Historical August averages of 29–31 °C provide context for the current elevated but not extreme forecast.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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