Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe on August 16, promoting clear skies, strong daytime solar insolation, and warm southerly advection that supports a Warsaw maximum near 30°C. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from subtle variations in low-level moisture, boundary-layer mixing depth, and potential thin cirrus that could trim peak temperatures by 1°C or allow brief exceedance of 31°C. With the event less than 24 hours away, updated model runs and surface observations will narrow remaining uncertainty in the thermodynamic profile.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙8月16日的最高温度？
华沙8月16日的最高温度？
30°C 36%
29°C 28%
31°C 20%
32°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
28%
30°C
36%
31°C
20%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 36%
29°C 28%
31°C 20%
32°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
23°C or below
$267 交易量
<1%
24°C
$356 交易量
<1%
25°C
$313 交易量
<1%
26°C
$397 交易量
1%
27°C
$475 交易量
3%
28°C
$662 交易量
6%
29°C
$791 交易量
28%
30°C
$1,068 交易量
36%
31°C
$1,814 交易量
20%
32°C
$1,538 交易量
7%
33°C or higher
$394 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe on August 16, promoting clear skies, strong daytime solar insolation, and warm southerly advection that supports a Warsaw maximum near 30°C. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from subtle variations in low-level moisture, boundary-layer mixing depth, and potential thin cirrus that could trim peak temperatures by 1°C or allow brief exceedance of 31°C. With the event less than 24 hours away, updated model runs and surface observations will narrow remaining uncertainty in the thermodynamic profile.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$8,075结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe on August 16, promoting clear skies, strong daytime solar insolation, and warm southerly advection that supports a Warsaw maximum near 30°C. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from subtle variations in low-level moisture, boundary-layer mixing depth, and potential thin cirrus that could trim peak temperatures by 1°C or allow brief exceedance of 31°C. With the event less than 24 hours away, updated model runs and surface observations will narrow remaining uncertainty in the thermodynamic profile.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,075结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe on August 16, promoting clear skies, strong daytime solar insolation, and warm southerly advection that supports a Warsaw maximum near 30°C. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from subtle variations in low-level moisture, boundary-layer mixing depth, and potential thin cirrus that could trim peak temperatures by 1°C or allow brief exceedance of 31°C. With the event less than 24 hours away, updated model runs and surface observations will narrow remaining uncertainty in the thermodynamic profile.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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