Current numerical weather models point to a Beijing maximum near 32–33 °C on August 11, consistent with trader consensus around those outcomes. Typical late-summer monsoon flow, combined with moderate humidity and possible light rain or increased cloud cover, is expected to limit strong daytime heating while the urban heat-island effect keeps readings several degrees above regional rural values. Small differences among leading probabilities reflect model spread in the exact timing and coverage of showers, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2 °C, versus clearer intervals that allow slightly higher readings under continued southerly flow. Updated short-range guidance and official China Meteorological Administration bulletins over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月11日北京气温最高？
8月11日北京气温最高？
33°C 28%
34°C 27%
31°C 20%
32°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
29°C or below
4%
30°C
5%
31°C
18%
32°C
20%
33°C
28%
34°C
20%
35°C
15%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 28%
34°C 27%
31°C 20%
32°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
29°C or below
$555 交易量
4%
30°C
$3 交易量
5%
31°C
$10 交易量
18%
32°C
$0 交易量
20%
33°C
$14 交易量
28%
34°C
$163 交易量
20%
35°C
$68 交易量
15%
36°C
$32 交易量
4%
37°C
$16 交易量
1%
38°C
$46 交易量
<1%
39°C or higher
$441 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models point to a Beijing maximum near 32–33 °C on August 11, consistent with trader consensus around those outcomes. Typical late-summer monsoon flow, combined with moderate humidity and possible light rain or increased cloud cover, is expected to limit strong daytime heating while the urban heat-island effect keeps readings several degrees above regional rural values. Small differences among leading probabilities reflect model spread in the exact timing and coverage of showers, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2 °C, versus clearer intervals that allow slightly higher readings under continued southerly flow. Updated short-range guidance and official China Meteorological Administration bulletins over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$1,348结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models point to a Beijing maximum near 32–33 °C on August 11, consistent with trader consensus around those outcomes. Typical late-summer monsoon flow, combined with moderate humidity and possible light rain or increased cloud cover, is expected to limit strong daytime heating while the urban heat-island effect keeps readings several degrees above regional rural values. Small differences among leading probabilities reflect model spread in the exact timing and coverage of showers, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2 °C, versus clearer intervals that allow slightly higher readings under continued southerly flow. Updated short-range guidance and official China Meteorological Administration bulletins over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,348结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETCurrent numerical weather models point to a Beijing maximum near 32–33 °C on August 11, consistent with trader consensus around those outcomes. Typical late-summer monsoon flow, combined with moderate humidity and possible light rain or increased cloud cover, is expected to limit strong daytime heating while the urban heat-island effect keeps readings several degrees above regional rural values. Small differences among leading probabilities reflect model spread in the exact timing and coverage of showers, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2 °C, versus clearer intervals that allow slightly higher readings under continued southerly flow. Updated short-range guidance and official China Meteorological Administration bulletins over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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