Official Met Office observations for London on 13 August 2026 recorded a minimum temperature of 18°C, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome and driving the 100% consensus. This figure reflects overnight radiative cooling under clear skies following daytime highs near 38°C at Kew Gardens, consistent with typical summer nocturnal temperature drops of 15–20°C in urban settings influenced by the urban heat island effect. High-pressure dominance and light winds further limited mixing with cooler air masses. A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision from official stations or redefinition of the measurement period, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are verified against historical baselines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日伦敦最低气温？
8月13日伦敦最低气温？
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$17,846 交易量
$17,846 交易量
2026-08-13
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或更高
否
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$17,846 交易量
$17,846 交易量
2026-08-13
14°C or below
$267 交易量
No
15°C
$546 交易量
No
16°C
$1,368 交易量
No
17°C
$2,663 交易量
否
18°C
$3,621 交易量
是
19°C
$3,877 交易量
否
20°C
$3,165 交易量
否
21°C
$1,301 交易量
否
22°C
$302 交易量
否
23°C
$455 交易量
否
24°C或更高
$281 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office observations for London on 13 August 2026 recorded a minimum temperature of 18°C, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome and driving the 100% consensus. This figure reflects overnight radiative cooling under clear skies following daytime highs near 38°C at Kew Gardens, consistent with typical summer nocturnal temperature drops of 15–20°C in urban settings influenced by the urban heat island effect. High-pressure dominance and light winds further limited mixing with cooler air masses. A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision from official stations or redefinition of the measurement period, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are verified against historical baselines.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$17,846结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office observations for London on 13 August 2026 recorded a minimum temperature of 18°C, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome and driving the 100% consensus. This figure reflects overnight radiative cooling under clear skies following daytime highs near 38°C at Kew Gardens, consistent with typical summer nocturnal temperature drops of 15–20°C in urban settings influenced by the urban heat island effect. High-pressure dominance and light winds further limited mixing with cooler air masses. A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision from official stations or redefinition of the measurement period, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are verified against historical baselines.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,846结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official Met Office observations for London on 13 August 2026 recorded a minimum temperature of 18°C, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome and driving the 100% consensus. This figure reflects overnight radiative cooling under clear skies following daytime highs near 38°C at Kew Gardens, consistent with typical summer nocturnal temperature drops of 15–20°C in urban settings influenced by the urban heat island effect. High-pressure dominance and light winds further limited mixing with cooler air masses. A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision from official stations or redefinition of the measurement period, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are verified against historical baselines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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