Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a daily maximum near 24°C in Warsaw on August 12 under sunny skies and light northwesterly winds that limit daytime heating from an incoming cooler air mass. These conditions align with climatological August averages of 23°C while model consensus supports a narrow range centered on 23–24°C, with light winds and minimal cloud cover reducing the potential for either strong warming or suppression. Trader positioning reflects this forecast stability, with implied probabilities highest for 23°C and 24°C, though minor revisions in guidance could shift outcomes within the typical model spread observed in mid-August.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙8月12日的最高温度？
华沙8月12日的最高温度？
23°C 47%
24°C 32%
25°C 11%
22°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
9%
23°C
47%
24°C
32%
25°C
11%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 47%
24°C 32%
25°C 11%
22°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
18°C or below
$60 交易量
<1%
19°C
$125 交易量
<1%
20°C
$121 交易量
<1%
21°C
$72 交易量
3%
22°C
$337 交易量
9%
23°C
$693 交易量
47%
24°C
$271 交易量
32%
25°C
$363 交易量
11%
26°C
$760 交易量
3%
27°C
$27 交易量
2%
28°C or higher
$103 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a daily maximum near 24°C in Warsaw on August 12 under sunny skies and light northwesterly winds that limit daytime heating from an incoming cooler air mass. These conditions align with climatological August averages of 23°C while model consensus supports a narrow range centered on 23–24°C, with light winds and minimal cloud cover reducing the potential for either strong warming or suppression. Trader positioning reflects this forecast stability, with implied probabilities highest for 23°C and 24°C, though minor revisions in guidance could shift outcomes within the typical model spread observed in mid-August.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$2,932结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a daily maximum near 24°C in Warsaw on August 12 under sunny skies and light northwesterly winds that limit daytime heating from an incoming cooler air mass. These conditions align with climatological August averages of 23°C while model consensus supports a narrow range centered on 23–24°C, with light winds and minimal cloud cover reducing the potential for either strong warming or suppression. Trader positioning reflects this forecast stability, with implied probabilities highest for 23°C and 24°C, though minor revisions in guidance could shift outcomes within the typical model spread observed in mid-August.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,932结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a daily maximum near 24°C in Warsaw on August 12 under sunny skies and light northwesterly winds that limit daytime heating from an incoming cooler air mass. These conditions align with climatological August averages of 23°C while model consensus supports a narrow range centered on 23–24°C, with light winds and minimal cloud cover reducing the potential for either strong warming or suppression. Trader positioning reflects this forecast stability, with implied probabilities highest for 23°C and 24°C, though minor revisions in guidance could shift outcomes within the typical model spread observed in mid-August.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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