Latest numerical weather guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS indicates a daytime high of 17–18 °C in São Paulo on August 10, driven by increased cloud cover, light drizzle potential, and the passage of a transient cool air mass behind a weak cold front during Southern Hemisphere winter. This cooler-than-average pattern—relative to typical August highs near 23–25 °C—explains the near-even market-implied odds favoring 18 °C (32.5 %) over 17 °C (31.5 %), with the spread reflecting small uncertainties in cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, frontal timing, and station-specific maximum measurements. Updated model runs and late-day observations remain key near-term drivers for any shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日圣保罗的最高温度？
8月10日圣保罗的最高温度？
18°C 33%
17°C 32%
19°C 18%
16°C 17%
最新
$11,405 交易量
最新
$11,405 交易量
2026-08-10
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
17%
17°C
32%
18°C
33%
19°C
18%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
18°C 33%
17°C 32%
19°C 18%
16°C 17%
最新
$11,405 交易量
最新
$11,405 交易量
2026-08-10
14°C或以下
$277 交易量
<1%
15°C
$456 交易量
<1%
16°C
$4,016 交易量
17%
17°C
$1,329 交易量
32%
18°C
$892 交易量
33%
19°C
$1,885 交易量
18%
20°C
$690 交易量
4%
21°C
$790 交易量
1%
22°C
$303 交易量
1%
23°C
$359 交易量
<1%
24°C或更高
$408 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS indicates a daytime high of 17–18 °C in São Paulo on August 10, driven by increased cloud cover, light drizzle potential, and the passage of a transient cool air mass behind a weak cold front during Southern Hemisphere winter. This cooler-than-average pattern—relative to typical August highs near 23–25 °C—explains the near-even market-implied odds favoring 18 °C (32.5 %) over 17 °C (31.5 %), with the spread reflecting small uncertainties in cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, frontal timing, and station-specific maximum measurements. Updated model runs and late-day observations remain key near-term drivers for any shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$11,405结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS indicates a daytime high of 17–18 °C in São Paulo on August 10, driven by increased cloud cover, light drizzle potential, and the passage of a transient cool air mass behind a weak cold front during Southern Hemisphere winter. This cooler-than-average pattern—relative to typical August highs near 23–25 °C—explains the near-even market-implied odds favoring 18 °C (32.5 %) over 17 °C (31.5 %), with the spread reflecting small uncertainties in cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, frontal timing, and station-specific maximum measurements. Updated model runs and late-day observations remain key near-term drivers for any shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,405结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETLatest numerical weather guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS indicates a daytime high of 17–18 °C in São Paulo on August 10, driven by increased cloud cover, light drizzle potential, and the passage of a transient cool air mass behind a weak cold front during Southern Hemisphere winter. This cooler-than-average pattern—relative to typical August highs near 23–25 °C—explains the near-even market-implied odds favoring 18 °C (32.5 %) over 17 °C (31.5 %), with the spread reflecting small uncertainties in cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, frontal timing, and station-specific maximum measurements. Updated model runs and late-day observations remain key near-term drivers for any shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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