Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature near 20–22°C in Amsterdam on August 20, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. This reflects typical late-summer conditions over the North Sea region, where variable westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and modest warm-air advection produce mild highs with limited diurnal warming. Subtle model differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, sea-surface temperature influences, and timing of any passing showers create the narrow spread between 21°C and 22°C probabilities. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月20日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
8月20日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
21°C 30%
22°C 24%
20°C 19%
23°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
8%
20°C
19%
21°C
30%
22°C
24%
23°C
9%
24°C
4%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 30%
22°C 24%
20°C 19%
23°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
15°C or below
$5 交易量
<1%
16°C
$5 交易量
<1%
17°C
$104 交易量
2%
18°C
$92 交易量
7%
19°C
$25 交易量
8%
20°C
$22 交易量
19%
21°C
$5 交易量
30%
22°C
$17 交易量
24%
23°C
$3 交易量
9%
24°C
$10 交易量
4%
25°C or higher
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature near 20–22°C in Amsterdam on August 20, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. This reflects typical late-summer conditions over the North Sea region, where variable westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and modest warm-air advection produce mild highs with limited diurnal warming. Subtle model differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, sea-surface temperature influences, and timing of any passing showers create the narrow spread between 21°C and 22°C probabilities. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$293结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature near 20–22°C in Amsterdam on August 20, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. This reflects typical late-summer conditions over the North Sea region, where variable westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and modest warm-air advection produce mild highs with limited diurnal warming. Subtle model differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, sea-surface temperature influences, and timing of any passing showers create the narrow spread between 21°C and 22°C probabilities. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$293结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature near 20–22°C in Amsterdam on August 20, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. This reflects typical late-summer conditions over the North Sea region, where variable westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and modest warm-air advection produce mild highs with limited diurnal warming. Subtle model differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, sea-surface temperature influences, and timing of any passing showers create the narrow spread between 21°C and 22°C probabilities. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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