Current forecast models from agencies including the Met Office indicate a peak of 31–33°C for Chongqing on August 20, driven by increasing cloud cover, possible showers, and a seasonal moderation after earlier summer heat. This consensus underpins the market-implied odds, with 32°C holding the highest probability at 42% as traders weigh model agreement against typical August variability in the region’s subtropical monsoon climate. Recent runs show limited intensification potential due to atmospheric moisture and steering patterns, while climatological baselines place mid-August highs near 32–34°C. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to influence further shifts in these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月20日重庆气温最高？
8月20日重庆气温最高？
32°C 42%
33°C 29%
34°C 19%
31°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
12%
31°C
19%
32°C
42%
33°C
29%
34°C
19%
35°C
18%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 42%
33°C 29%
34°C 19%
31°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
26°C or below
$131 交易量
<1%
27°C
$17 交易量
<1%
28°C
$10 交易量
3%
29°C
$9 交易量
8%
30°C
$3 交易量
12%
31°C
$0 交易量
19%
32°C
$0 交易量
42%
33°C
$0 交易量
29%
34°C
$37 交易量
19%
35°C
$32 交易量
18%
36°C or higher
$7 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the Met Office indicate a peak of 31–33°C for Chongqing on August 20, driven by increasing cloud cover, possible showers, and a seasonal moderation after earlier summer heat. This consensus underpins the market-implied odds, with 32°C holding the highest probability at 42% as traders weigh model agreement against typical August variability in the region’s subtropical monsoon climate. Recent runs show limited intensification potential due to atmospheric moisture and steering patterns, while climatological baselines place mid-August highs near 32–34°C. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to influence further shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$246结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the Met Office indicate a peak of 31–33°C for Chongqing on August 20, driven by increasing cloud cover, possible showers, and a seasonal moderation after earlier summer heat. This consensus underpins the market-implied odds, with 32°C holding the highest probability at 42% as traders weigh model agreement against typical August variability in the region’s subtropical monsoon climate. Recent runs show limited intensification potential due to atmospheric moisture and steering patterns, while climatological baselines place mid-August highs near 32–34°C. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to influence further shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$246结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent forecast models from agencies including the Met Office indicate a peak of 31–33°C for Chongqing on August 20, driven by increasing cloud cover, possible showers, and a seasonal moderation after earlier summer heat. This consensus underpins the market-implied odds, with 32°C holding the highest probability at 42% as traders weigh model agreement against typical August variability in the region’s subtropical monsoon climate. Recent runs show limited intensification potential due to atmospheric moisture and steering patterns, while climatological baselines place mid-August highs near 32–34°C. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to influence further shifts in these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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