Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models points to a stabilizing high-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula after early August's extreme heatwave, favoring partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions on August 18 with daytime highs centered near 30–32°C in the Incheon/Seoul area. Traders have clustered probabilities around 30°C (36%) and 31°C (29%) because model runs show limited afternoon heating potential from modest humidity and variable cloud cover, while steering patterns reduce the risk of stronger onshore flow. Historical August climatology for Incheon places average daily maxima near 29–31°C, providing context for why 32°C or higher remains a lower-probability tail (under 16% combined) absent unexpected clear skies or warmer advection. Updated model guidance ahead of the 48-hour window will refine these ranges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
8月18日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
30°C 33%
31°C 29%
29°C 23%
32°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
23%
30°C
33%
31°C
29%
32°C
9%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 33%
31°C 29%
29°C 23%
32°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
23°C or below
$481 交易量
<1%
24°C
$448 交易量
<1%
25°C
$213 交易量
<1%
26°C
$43 交易量
3%
27°C
$91 交易量
3%
28°C
$28 交易量
8%
29°C
$48 交易量
23%
30°C
$108 交易量
33%
31°C
$46 交易量
29%
32°C
$26 交易量
9%
33°C or higher
$63 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models points to a stabilizing high-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula after early August's extreme heatwave, favoring partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions on August 18 with daytime highs centered near 30–32°C in the Incheon/Seoul area. Traders have clustered probabilities around 30°C (36%) and 31°C (29%) because model runs show limited afternoon heating potential from modest humidity and variable cloud cover, while steering patterns reduce the risk of stronger onshore flow. Historical August climatology for Incheon places average daily maxima near 29–31°C, providing context for why 32°C or higher remains a lower-probability tail (under 16% combined) absent unexpected clear skies or warmer advection. Updated model guidance ahead of the 48-hour window will refine these ranges.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,596结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models points to a stabilizing high-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula after early August's extreme heatwave, favoring partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions on August 18 with daytime highs centered near 30–32°C in the Incheon/Seoul area. Traders have clustered probabilities around 30°C (36%) and 31°C (29%) because model runs show limited afternoon heating potential from modest humidity and variable cloud cover, while steering patterns reduce the risk of stronger onshore flow. Historical August climatology for Incheon places average daily maxima near 29–31°C, providing context for why 32°C or higher remains a lower-probability tail (under 16% combined) absent unexpected clear skies or warmer advection. Updated model guidance ahead of the 48-hour window will refine these ranges.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,596结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models points to a stabilizing high-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula after early August's extreme heatwave, favoring partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions on August 18 with daytime highs centered near 30–32°C in the Incheon/Seoul area. Traders have clustered probabilities around 30°C (36%) and 31°C (29%) because model runs show limited afternoon heating potential from modest humidity and variable cloud cover, while steering patterns reduce the risk of stronger onshore flow. Historical August climatology for Incheon places average daily maxima near 29–31°C, providing context for why 32°C or higher remains a lower-probability tail (under 16% combined) absent unexpected clear skies or warmer advection. Updated model guidance ahead of the 48-hour window will refine these ranges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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