Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 18 point to showery conditions with moderate southwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies, producing maximum temperatures centered in the low 30s Celsius and driving the tight clustering around 30–32°C outcomes. Model consensus highlights modest daytime heating limited by cloud cover and rainfall timing, consistent with August climatology where average highs reach near 31°C amid high humidity and urban heat island effects. Minor variations in convective development or clearer intervals could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while longer-range guidance from seasonal outlooks supports normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日香港气温最高？
8月18日香港气温最高？
32°C 31%
31°C 28%
30°C 25%
33°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
25%
31°C
28%
32°C
31%
33°C
16%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
2%
32°C 31%
31°C 28%
30°C 25%
33°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
26°C or below
$0 交易量
1%
27°C
$10 交易量
2%
28°C
$10 交易量
2%
29°C
$23 交易量
5%
30°C
$0 交易量
25%
31°C
$0 交易量
28%
32°C
$150 交易量
31%
33°C
$11 交易量
16%
34°C
$0 交易量
4%
35°C
$2 交易量
3%
36°C or higher
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 18 point to showery conditions with moderate southwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies, producing maximum temperatures centered in the low 30s Celsius and driving the tight clustering around 30–32°C outcomes. Model consensus highlights modest daytime heating limited by cloud cover and rainfall timing, consistent with August climatology where average highs reach near 31°C amid high humidity and urban heat island effects. Minor variations in convective development or clearer intervals could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while longer-range guidance from seasonal outlooks supports normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$211结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 18 point to showery conditions with moderate southwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies, producing maximum temperatures centered in the low 30s Celsius and driving the tight clustering around 30–32°C outcomes. Model consensus highlights modest daytime heating limited by cloud cover and rainfall timing, consistent with August climatology where average highs reach near 31°C amid high humidity and urban heat island effects. Minor variations in convective development or clearer intervals could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while longer-range guidance from seasonal outlooks supports normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$211结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 18 point to showery conditions with moderate southwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies, producing maximum temperatures centered in the low 30s Celsius and driving the tight clustering around 30–32°C outcomes. Model consensus highlights modest daytime heating limited by cloud cover and rainfall timing, consistent with August climatology where average highs reach near 31°C amid high humidity and urban heat island effects. Minor variations in convective development or clearer intervals could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while longer-range guidance from seasonal outlooks supports normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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