Current short-range forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC show Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 20, 2026, centered on 23–24°C under light cloud and southwesterly flow, with limited consensus on whether modest daytime heating will push readings to 25°C or hold lower. Traders' near-even distribution across these bins reflects typical ensemble spread in European mid-latitude summer patterns, where small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and weak frontal passages can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology for the city averages 23–24°C highs, providing a baseline that current guidance tracks closely without strong anomalous signals. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome as the event nears resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙8月20日的最高温度？
华沙8月20日的最高温度？
24°C 34%
25°C or higher 34%
23°C 29%
22°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
12%
23°C
38%
24°C
34%
25°C or higher
34%
24°C 34%
25°C or higher 34%
23°C 29%
22°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
15°C or below
$10 交易量
<1%
16°C
$5 交易量
<1%
17°C
$5 交易量
<1%
18°C
$5 交易量
<1%
19°C
$5 交易量
1%
20°C
$5 交易量
1%
21°C
$0 交易量
5%
22°C
$0 交易量
12%
23°C
$21 交易量
38%
24°C
$21 交易量
34%
25°C or higher
$0 交易量
34%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC show Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 20, 2026, centered on 23–24°C under light cloud and southwesterly flow, with limited consensus on whether modest daytime heating will push readings to 25°C or hold lower. Traders' near-even distribution across these bins reflects typical ensemble spread in European mid-latitude summer patterns, where small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and weak frontal passages can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology for the city averages 23–24°C highs, providing a baseline that current guidance tracks closely without strong anomalous signals. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome as the event nears resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$77结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC show Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 20, 2026, centered on 23–24°C under light cloud and southwesterly flow, with limited consensus on whether modest daytime heating will push readings to 25°C or hold lower. Traders' near-even distribution across these bins reflects typical ensemble spread in European mid-latitude summer patterns, where small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and weak frontal passages can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology for the city averages 23–24°C highs, providing a baseline that current guidance tracks closely without strong anomalous signals. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome as the event nears resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$77结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent short-range forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC show Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 20, 2026, centered on 23–24°C under light cloud and southwesterly flow, with limited consensus on whether modest daytime heating will push readings to 25°C or hold lower. Traders' near-even distribution across these bins reflects typical ensemble spread in European mid-latitude summer patterns, where small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and weak frontal passages can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology for the city averages 23–24°C highs, providing a baseline that current guidance tracks closely without strong anomalous signals. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome as the event nears resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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