Forecast models for Shanghai on August 20 point to a daily maximum near 30–31°C, with trader consensus split between these outcomes reflecting minor differences in expected cloud cover, humidity levels, and afternoon thunderstorm timing. Recent observations show persistent summer warmth with highs in the low 30s amid high humidity, while extended guidance from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather anticipates a slight cooling trend and increasing precipitation chances that could cap peak temperatures. Key variables include steering patterns from the East Asian monsoon and local sea-breeze effects, which introduce uncertainty in precise resolution; updated numerical weather predictions in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月20日上海气温最高?
30°C 36%
31°C 33%
32°C 14%
29°C 11%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
36%
31°C
33%
32°C
14%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 36%
31°C 33%
32°C 14%
29°C 11%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
36%
31°C
33%
32°C
14%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models for Shanghai on August 20 point to a daily maximum near 30–31°C, with trader consensus split between these outcomes reflecting minor differences in expected cloud cover, humidity levels, and afternoon thunderstorm timing. Recent observations show persistent summer warmth with highs in the low 30s amid high humidity, while extended guidance from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather anticipates a slight cooling trend and increasing precipitation chances that could cap peak temperatures. Key variables include steering patterns from the East Asian monsoon and local sea-breeze effects, which introduce uncertainty in precise resolution; updated numerical weather predictions in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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