**Trader sentiment for Paris's peak temperature on August 18, 2026, clusters tightly around 27–29°C (over 84% combined implied probability), reflecting model consensus for post-heatwave conditions under high pressure and mostly sunny skies.** After intense heat earlier in mid-August—with peaks near 38°C—recent model runs from Météo-France and others show moderating temperatures, with daytime maxima expected near 28–30°C amid light westerly winds and minimal cloud interference. The narrow spread between leading outcomes stems from typical short-range forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing, urban heat retention in central Paris stations, and minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or insolation. Historical August averages (around 24–26°C highs) provide context, but current synoptic patterns favor values above the mean; resolution hinges on official Météo-France observations at Paris-Montsouris or equivalent stations. New ensemble updates over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日巴黎气温最高？
8月18日巴黎气温最高？
27°C 38%
28°C 33%
26°C 15%
29°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
25°C or below
5%
26°C
15%
27°C
38%
28°C
33%
29°C
10%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
27°C 38%
28°C 33%
26°C 15%
29°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
25°C or below
$30 交易量
5%
26°C
$78 交易量
15%
27°C
$228 交易量
38%
28°C
$224 交易量
33%
29°C
$356 交易量
10%
30°C
$23 交易量
3%
31°C
$197 交易量
1%
32°C
$34 交易量
<1%
33°C
$144 交易量
<1%
34°C
$452 交易量
<1%
35°C or higher
$452 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Paris's peak temperature on August 18, 2026, clusters tightly around 27–29°C (over 84% combined implied probability), reflecting model consensus for post-heatwave conditions under high pressure and mostly sunny skies.** After intense heat earlier in mid-August—with peaks near 38°C—recent model runs from Météo-France and others show moderating temperatures, with daytime maxima expected near 28–30°C amid light westerly winds and minimal cloud interference. The narrow spread between leading outcomes stems from typical short-range forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing, urban heat retention in central Paris stations, and minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or insolation. Historical August averages (around 24–26°C highs) provide context, but current synoptic patterns favor values above the mean; resolution hinges on official Météo-France observations at Paris-Montsouris or equivalent stations. New ensemble updates over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$2,219结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Paris's peak temperature on August 18, 2026, clusters tightly around 27–29°C (over 84% combined implied probability), reflecting model consensus for post-heatwave conditions under high pressure and mostly sunny skies.** After intense heat earlier in mid-August—with peaks near 38°C—recent model runs from Météo-France and others show moderating temperatures, with daytime maxima expected near 28–30°C amid light westerly winds and minimal cloud interference. The narrow spread between leading outcomes stems from typical short-range forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing, urban heat retention in central Paris stations, and minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or insolation. Historical August averages (around 24–26°C highs) provide context, but current synoptic patterns favor values above the mean; resolution hinges on official Météo-France observations at Paris-Montsouris or equivalent stations. New ensemble updates over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,219结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Paris's peak temperature on August 18, 2026, clusters tightly around 27–29°C (over 84% combined implied probability), reflecting model consensus for post-heatwave conditions under high pressure and mostly sunny skies.** After intense heat earlier in mid-August—with peaks near 38°C—recent model runs from Météo-France and others show moderating temperatures, with daytime maxima expected near 28–30°C amid light westerly winds and minimal cloud interference. The narrow spread between leading outcomes stems from typical short-range forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing, urban heat retention in central Paris stations, and minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or insolation. Historical August averages (around 24–26°C highs) provide context, but current synoptic patterns favor values above the mean; resolution hinges on official Météo-France observations at Paris-Montsouris or equivalent stations. New ensemble updates over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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