Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com and AccuWeather project a daily high near 32°C (90°F) for Shanghai on August 19, 2026, under partly cloudy to morning-cloud conditions with possible scattered showers that could limit peak heating. This aligns with the subtropical monsoon climatology where August highs typically range 30–34°C amid high humidity and variable convection, as seen in the prior day's observed 31°C maximum. Model consensus favors modest moderation from cloud cover and easterly flow rather than clear-sky intensification, positioning the 31°C outcome as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability while keeping 30°C and 32°C viable at combined 43.5%. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing that determine the exact maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日上海气温最高？
8月19日上海气温最高？
31°C 49%
30°C 23%
32°C 21%
29°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
23%
31°C
49%
32°C
21%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 49%
30°C 23%
32°C 21%
29°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
25°C or below
$221 交易量
<1%
26°C
$142 交易量
<1%
27°C
$239 交易量
<1%
28°C
$140 交易量
2%
29°C
$196 交易量
5%
30°C
$599 交易量
23%
31°C
$535 交易量
49%
32°C
$124 交易量
21%
33°C
$37 交易量
5%
34°C
$267 交易量
2%
35°C or higher
$273 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com and AccuWeather project a daily high near 32°C (90°F) for Shanghai on August 19, 2026, under partly cloudy to morning-cloud conditions with possible scattered showers that could limit peak heating. This aligns with the subtropical monsoon climatology where August highs typically range 30–34°C amid high humidity and variable convection, as seen in the prior day's observed 31°C maximum. Model consensus favors modest moderation from cloud cover and easterly flow rather than clear-sky intensification, positioning the 31°C outcome as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability while keeping 30°C and 32°C viable at combined 43.5%. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing that determine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,773结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com and AccuWeather project a daily high near 32°C (90°F) for Shanghai on August 19, 2026, under partly cloudy to morning-cloud conditions with possible scattered showers that could limit peak heating. This aligns with the subtropical monsoon climatology where August highs typically range 30–34°C amid high humidity and variable convection, as seen in the prior day's observed 31°C maximum. Model consensus favors modest moderation from cloud cover and easterly flow rather than clear-sky intensification, positioning the 31°C outcome as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability while keeping 30°C and 32°C viable at combined 43.5%. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing that determine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,773结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com and AccuWeather project a daily high near 32°C (90°F) for Shanghai on August 19, 2026, under partly cloudy to morning-cloud conditions with possible scattered showers that could limit peak heating. This aligns with the subtropical monsoon climatology where August highs typically range 30–34°C amid high humidity and variable convection, as seen in the prior day's observed 31°C maximum. Model consensus favors modest moderation from cloud cover and easterly flow rather than clear-sky intensification, positioning the 31°C outcome as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability while keeping 30°C and 32°C viable at combined 43.5%. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing that determine the exact maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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