Current forecast models for Chengdu point to a daily maximum near 29–32°C on August 19, consistent with late-summer norms under the East Asian monsoon regime. Persistent humidity and scattered showers or cloud cover expected through the period tend to limit peak heating, while regional steering patterns from the subtropical high maintain typical values rather than extreme outliers. Official measurements from the China Meteorological Administration will determine resolution, with short-range updates from global ensembles likely to refine probabilities ahead of the date. Historical August highs average around 30–32°C, providing a baseline against which any late-model shifts in precipitation or insolation could influence trader positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日成都气温最高?
27°C 28%
28°C 20%
26°C 14%
29°C 13%
23°C or below
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
11%
26°C
14%
27°C
28%
28°C
20%
29°C
13%
30°C
12%
31°C
6%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
5%
27°C 28%
28°C 20%
26°C 14%
29°C 13%
23°C or below
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
11%
26°C
14%
27°C
28%
28°C
20%
29°C
13%
30°C
12%
31°C
6%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models for Chengdu point to a daily maximum near 29–32°C on August 19, consistent with late-summer norms under the East Asian monsoon regime. Persistent humidity and scattered showers or cloud cover expected through the period tend to limit peak heating, while regional steering patterns from the subtropical high maintain typical values rather than extreme outliers. Official measurements from the China Meteorological Administration will determine resolution, with short-range updates from global ensembles likely to refine probabilities ahead of the date. Historical August highs average around 30–32°C, providing a baseline against which any late-model shifts in precipitation or insolation could influence trader positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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