Recent forecast consensus from agencies like the UK Met Office and timeanddate points to Madrid highs of 35–36°C on August 19, 2026, with mostly sunny conditions and light winds, supporting the market's leading outcomes at those levels. This positioning reflects an ongoing European heat pattern, with recent daily maxima near 36–38°C amid above-normal seasonal warmth linked to broader atmospheric trends. Model agreement remains high for limited cooling before midweek, though slight downward revisions could favor 35°C if northerly flow strengthens; traders weigh these near-term updates against historical August baselines averaging near 32–34°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日马德里气温最高？
8月19日马德里气温最高？
36°C 37%
35°C 24%
37°C 19%
34°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
10%
35°C
24%
36°C
37%
37°C
19%
38°C
4%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 37%
35°C 24%
37°C 19%
34°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
32°C or below
$198 交易量
<1%
33°C
$174 交易量
2%
34°C
$140 交易量
10%
35°C
$311 交易量
24%
36°C
$1,788 交易量
37%
37°C
$464 交易量
19%
38°C
$147 交易量
4%
39°C
$105 交易量
1%
40°C
$8 交易量
1%
41°C
$89 交易量
<1%
42°C or higher
$89 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from agencies like the UK Met Office and timeanddate points to Madrid highs of 35–36°C on August 19, 2026, with mostly sunny conditions and light winds, supporting the market's leading outcomes at those levels. This positioning reflects an ongoing European heat pattern, with recent daily maxima near 36–38°C amid above-normal seasonal warmth linked to broader atmospheric trends. Model agreement remains high for limited cooling before midweek, though slight downward revisions could favor 35°C if northerly flow strengthens; traders weigh these near-term updates against historical August baselines averaging near 32–34°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$3,512结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from agencies like the UK Met Office and timeanddate points to Madrid highs of 35–36°C on August 19, 2026, with mostly sunny conditions and light winds, supporting the market's leading outcomes at those levels. This positioning reflects an ongoing European heat pattern, with recent daily maxima near 36–38°C amid above-normal seasonal warmth linked to broader atmospheric trends. Model agreement remains high for limited cooling before midweek, though slight downward revisions could favor 35°C if northerly flow strengthens; traders weigh these near-term updates against historical August baselines averaging near 32–34°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,512结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecast consensus from agencies like the UK Met Office and timeanddate points to Madrid highs of 35–36°C on August 19, 2026, with mostly sunny conditions and light winds, supporting the market's leading outcomes at those levels. This positioning reflects an ongoing European heat pattern, with recent daily maxima near 36–38°C amid above-normal seasonal warmth linked to broader atmospheric trends. Model agreement remains high for limited cooling before midweek, though slight downward revisions could favor 35°C if northerly flow strengthens; traders weigh these near-term updates against historical August baselines averaging near 32–34°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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