Latest ensemble forecasts from major models highlight a narrow range for Milan's August 19 high near 32–34°C, driven by persistent high pressure and subsiding air under weak synoptic flow, with minimal advection of cooler air from the Alps. Small differences in predicted timing of daytime heating, boundary-layer mixing, and localized urban effects in the Po Valley create the tight contest between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. Official guidance shows limited spread, yet inherent model uncertainty around peak insolation and any afternoon moisture increases keeps probabilities balanced near 35% each. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS will refine exact maximum readings ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日米兰的最高温度？
8月19日米兰的最高温度？
33°C 36%
32°C 35%
34°C 13%
31°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
30°C or below
3%
31°C
12%
32°C
35%
33°C
36%
34°C
13%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 36%
32°C 35%
34°C 13%
31°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
30°C or below
$120 交易量
3%
31°C
$120 交易量
12%
32°C
$138 交易量
35%
33°C
$51 交易量
36%
34°C
$95 交易量
13%
35°C
$1 交易量
4%
36°C
$67 交易量
2%
37°C
$7 交易量
<1%
38°C
$197 交易量
<1%
39°C
$286 交易量
<1%
40°C or higher
$286 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major models highlight a narrow range for Milan's August 19 high near 32–34°C, driven by persistent high pressure and subsiding air under weak synoptic flow, with minimal advection of cooler air from the Alps. Small differences in predicted timing of daytime heating, boundary-layer mixing, and localized urban effects in the Po Valley create the tight contest between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. Official guidance shows limited spread, yet inherent model uncertainty around peak insolation and any afternoon moisture increases keeps probabilities balanced near 35% each. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS will refine exact maximum readings ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,369结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major models highlight a narrow range for Milan's August 19 high near 32–34°C, driven by persistent high pressure and subsiding air under weak synoptic flow, with minimal advection of cooler air from the Alps. Small differences in predicted timing of daytime heating, boundary-layer mixing, and localized urban effects in the Po Valley create the tight contest between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. Official guidance shows limited spread, yet inherent model uncertainty around peak insolation and any afternoon moisture increases keeps probabilities balanced near 35% each. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS will refine exact maximum readings ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,369结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from major models highlight a narrow range for Milan's August 19 high near 32–34°C, driven by persistent high pressure and subsiding air under weak synoptic flow, with minimal advection of cooler air from the Alps. Small differences in predicted timing of daytime heating, boundary-layer mixing, and localized urban effects in the Po Valley create the tight contest between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. Official guidance shows limited spread, yet inherent model uncertainty around peak insolation and any afternoon moisture increases keeps probabilities balanced near 35% each. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS will refine exact maximum readings ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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